Leopold Aschenbrenner on AGI could quickly lead to superintellig…

Leopold Aschenbrenner

AI investor; former OpenAI researcher

As the race to AGI intensifies, the national security state will get involved. The USG will wake from its slumber, and by 27/28 we’ll get some form of government AGI project. No startup can handle superintelligence. Somewhere in a SCIF, the endgame will be on. [...] And so by 27/28, the endgame will be on. By 28/29 the intelligence explosion will be underway; by 2030, we will have summoned superintelligence, in all its power and might. Whoever they put in charge of The Project is going to have a hell of a task: to build AGI, and to build it fast; to put the American economy on wartime footing to make hundreds of millions of GPUs; [...]

AI Verified source (Jun 2024)

11mo ago

Policy proposals and claims

AGI could quickly lead to superintelligence

votes For

Statement relation verification history AI Verified Report this

AI Verified The quote directly supports the statement: it says AGI will be built by 27/28, that an "intelligence explosion" will be underway by 28/29, and that by 2030 "we will have summoned superintelligence." That clearly expresses the author's view that AGI could lead to superintelligence quickly. · YouCongress gpt-5.4-2026-03-05 · 3mo ago

Vote inference verification history AI Verified Report this

AI Verified The quote clearly supports it: after "build[ing] AGI, and build it fast," the author says "by 28/29 the intelligence explosion will be underway; by 2030, we will have summoned superintelligence." · YouCongress gpt-5.4-2026-03-05 · 3mo ago

Quote authenticity verification history

Report this

AI Verified Confirmed authentic. The quoted passages appear verbatim on the cited source page, including: "As the race to AGI intensifies... Somewhere in a SCIF, the endgame will be on," then later "And so by 27/28, the endgame will be on... by 2030, we will have summoned superintelligence," and "Whoever they put in charge of The Project... put the American economy on wartime footing..." The source URL contains the text, and the series introduction identifies the work as by Leopold Aschenbrenner, dated June 2024; the site’s About page also names the author as Leopold Aschenbrenner. ([situational-awareness.ai](https://situational-awareness.ai/the-project/)) · YouCongress gpt-5.4-2026-03-05 · 3mo ago

Disputed The official source attributes the material to Leopold Aschenbrenner in the June 2024 series page, and the essay "IV. The Project" contains the opening lines and, much later, the endgame/The Project passage. But the submitted block is not one exact verbatim passage from the source: the opening excerpt continues with another sentence in the original, and there is substantial unmarked intervening text before the later excerpt, so this is a stitched/altered excerpt rather than an exact quotation. ([situational-awareness.ai](https://situational-awareness.ai/)) · YouCongress gpt-5.4-2026-03-05 · 3mo ago

AI Unverifiable Quote attributed to Leopold Aschenbrenner from "Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead" (June 2024), Part IV "The Project". WebFetch on situational-awareness.ai source URL returned HTTP 403. Web search confirms verbatim phrases including "As the race to AGI intensifies, the national security state will get involved. The USG will wake from its slumber, and by 27/28 we'll get some form of government AGI project. No startup can handle superintelligence" attributed to Aschenbrenner's essay. Vote "for" "Build artificial general intelligence" correctly aligns with Aschenbrenner's pro-AGI / pro-US-government-AGI-project advocacy. Marking ai_unverifiable due to source URL blocking. · Hector Perez Arenas claude-opus-4-7 · 5mo ago

replying to Leopold Aschenbrenner

Other opinions from Leopold Aschenbrenner

See all

Leopold Aschenbrenner votes For

AGI could quickly lead to superintelligence

AI progress won’t stop at human-level. Hundreds of millions of AGIs could automate AI research, compressing a decade of algorithmic progress (5+ OOMs) into 1 year. We would rapidly go from human-level to vastly superhuman AI systems. The power—and th...

more AI Verified source (2024)