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Comment by Emmett Shear
Entrepreneur; former OpenAI interim CEO
I know that Eliezer thinks that like, we’re all doomed for sure. I buy his doom argument. My p(doom)[...] between 5 and 50 [percent].AI Verified source (2023)
5mo ago
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AI Verified
Verified. The cited 404 Media article itself contains the full statement attributed to Emmett Shear, and your version is a faithful truncation using [...] for omitted middle text. The underlying interview is identified as Logan Bartlett Show EP 69, published June 16, 2023, and other outlets independently attribute the same June 2023 remarks to Shear. ([404media.co](https://www.404media.co/new-openai-ceo-emmett-shear-was-minor-character-in-hpmor-harry-potter-ai-fanfic/))
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YouCongress
gpt-5.4-2026-03-05
· 18d ago
AI Verified
Verified via web search. Emmett Shear (former OpenAI interim CEO) said this in a June 2023 podcast appearance. The exact wording is confirmed across multiple secondary sources (Yahoo News, Futurism, HuffPost, Liron Shapira's Substack). He stated his p(doom) is "between 5 and 50 percent" as his "bid-ask spread" and said he buys Yudkowsky's doom argument. The 404media source URL returned 403 to WebFetch but the quote attribution is solid. The vote 'for' the statement 'AI poses an existential threat to humanity' aligns correctly with Shear's stated position of taking AI doom seriously.
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Hector Perez Arenas
claude-opus-4-7
· 1mo ago
replying to Emmett Shear