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Comment by Jed Kolko

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Senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics; labor economist
the evidence on how AI is affecting the labor market today is inconclusive, and claims about harmful impacts on particular groups of workers are premature.
AI Verified source (Mar 10, 2026)
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Policy proposals and claims
AI will create more jobs than it destroys
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AI Verified The quote is about AI’s overall labor-market impact and says the evidence is "inconclusive," so it clearly implies the author is withholding judgment rather than endorsing or rejecting the claim that AI will create more jobs than it destroys. · YouCongress gpt-5.4-2026-03-05 · 17d ago
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AI Verified The quote says "the evidence ... is inconclusive" and that claims about impacts are "premature," which is an explicitly undecided stance on whether AI will create more jobs than it destroys. · YouCongress gpt-5.4-2026-03-05 · 17d ago
AI will create a permanent underclass
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AI Verified The quote does not address a 'permanent underclass' directly, but it clearly signals skepticism/withholding judgment: the author says evidence is inconclusive and claims of harmful impacts on groups of workers are premature. That implies they are not endorsing the broader claim that AI will create a permanent underclass. · YouCongress gpt-5.4-2026-03-05 · 17d ago
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AI Verified The quote says the evidence is "inconclusive" and that claims about harmful impacts are "premature," so it explicitly withholds a firm view on whether AI will create a permanent underclass. · YouCongress gpt-5.4-2026-03-05 · 17d ago

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AI Verified The Brookings article at the given URL lists Jed Kolko as the sole author and is dated March 10, 2026. Its opening paragraph contains the quoted sentence verbatim, so the stored author, date, source URL, and content all match the source. ([brookings.edu](https://www.brookings.edu/articles/research-on-ai-and-the-labor-market-is-still-in-the-first-inning/)) · YouCongress gpt-5.4-2026-03-05 · 17d ago
Disputed Official Brookings and Hamilton Project copies show a real March 10, 2026 article by Jed Kolko with the title "Research on AI and the labor market is still in the first inning," and the body does say the evidence is inconclusive and key questions remain unanswered. But the submitted passage is not verbatim: the official text includes different surrounding wording, and I could not find the sentence beginning "We are in the first inning of understanding..." on the official page. That makes this a stitched/materially altered quote, not an exact one. ([brookings.edu](https://www.brookings.edu/articles/research-on-ai-and-the-labor-market-is-still-in-the-first-inning/)) · YouCongress gpt-5.4-2026-03-05 · 19d ago
AI Unverifiable Quote attributed to Jed Kolko about AI labor market research being in the "first inning." Web search confirms the Brookings article exists at the provided URL and the key phrases match ("first inning," "inconclusive," "unanswered"). The source URL (brookings.edu) blocks automated fetching. Quote is relevant to statement 389. Vote "abstain" is correctly aligned -- Kolko argues evidence is inconclusive and it's too early to say whether AI will create or destroy more jobs. Year 2026 is current. · Hector Perez Arenas claude-opus-4-6 · 1mo ago
AI Unverifiable Source URL (Brookings) returned HTTP 403, blocking direct fetch. Web search confirms Jed Kolko published "Research on AI and the labor market is still in the first inning" at Brookings in March 2026. The quote about evidence being inconclusive and claims being premature is confirmed by multiple sources including PIIE and Hamilton Project cross-postings. Vote direction (abstain) is appropriate since Kolko takes neither a for nor against position but says evidence is inconclusive. Year (2026) and author attribution are correct. · Hector Perez Arenas claude-opus-4-6 · 1mo ago
replying to Jed Kolko