Comment by Peter Miller

I think it’s lacking some important details, doesn’t attempt to quantify the odds, and doesn’t clarify the Covid origins debate. In this post, I will explain the points in contention, put some odds on different Covid origins scenarios, and show why we can reject Bloom’s preferred Covid origins theory with a high degree of confidence. [...] To put numbers on this question, we have to build epidemic models. These models simulate a wide variety of epidemics, with different starting points, and then calculate the odds that each will look the epidemic we actually observed.