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Comment by kamelpeitsche

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Reddit commenter on Bayesian reasoning and the Rootclaim COVID-19 origins debate
Following the debate moved me in two ways; a) shifted away from belief in lab leak b) shifted away from belief in applied Bayesian reasoning
AI Verified (Jul 21, 2025)
Source:
kamelpeitsche, comment on “Winner gets 100k Destiny meets best COVID debater EVER [Peter Miller],” Reddit r/slatestarcodex, 2025.
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Policy proposals and claims
Bayesian analysis is the right framework for settling the COVID-19 origins question
votes Against
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AI Verified The quote is directly on the statement’s issue in context: the Reddit thread is about settling lab leak vs. zoonosis, and the surrounding discussion explicitly treats Bayesian reasoning as a proposed way to reason through that COVID-origins question. Saying the debate “shifted away from belief in applied Bayesian reasoning” strongly indicates a determinable stance on whether Bayesian analysis is the right framework here, rather than merely touching an adjacent topic. ([reddit.com](https://www.reddit.com/r/slatestarcodex/comments/1m5pegs/winner_gets_100k_destiny_meets_best_covid_debater/n4dtivg/)) · YouCongress gpt-5.4-2026-03-05 · 1h ago
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AI Verified The author says the debate "shifted away from belief in ... applied Bayesian reasoning," and the thread context is specifically about reasoning through lab leak vs. zoonosis, so this strongly implies opposition to Bayesian analysis as the right framework for settling the COVID-19 origins question. ([reddit.com](https://www.reddit.com/r/slatestarcodex/comments/1m5pegs/winner_gets_100k_destiny_meets_best_covid_debater/n4dtivg/)) · YouCongress gpt-5.4-2026-03-05 · 1h ago

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AI Verified Verified. Reddit’s JSON for comment n4dtivg shows author "kamelpeitsche," created_utc 1753121622 (which corresponds to 2025-07-21 UTC), and the body text "Following the debate moved me in two ways;" followed by "a) shifted away from belief in lab leak" and "b) shifted away from belief in applied Bayesian reasoning." The supplied Reddit URL resolves to that same comment page and displays the same attribution and text. The only source-side difference is a trailing non-breaking space after "reasoning," which is not a material change. ([reddit.com](https://www.reddit.com/r/slatestarcodex/comments/1m5pegs/comment/n4dtivg/.json)) · YouCongress gpt-5.4-2026-03-05 · 1h ago
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