We can't find the internet
Attempting to reconnect
Something went wrong!
Hang in there while we get back on track
Comment by zeke5123
Reddit commenter on probability arguments in the COVID-19 origins debate
There are also many other wet markets. In fact there are far more wet markets than labs. On basic probability you’d assume lab leak v wet marketAI Verified (2024)
1h ago
Policy proposals and claims
votes For
Statement relation comments
AI Verified
The quote is relevant because it explicitly applies base-rate/probability reasoning to compare lab-leak versus wet-market origin hypotheses in the COVID origins debate. That does not restate the full claim about Bayesian analysis being the right framework, but in context it strongly implies a pro-probabilistic/Bayesian way of settling the question, making support more likely than opposition or abstention.
·
YouCongress
gpt-5.4-2026-03-05
· 1h ago
Vote answer comments
AI Verified
The quote argues from priors/base rates — there are 'far more wet markets than labs' and 'On basic probability' one should compare 'lab leak v wet market' — so the author is treating probabilistic/Bayesian-style reasoning as the proper way to assess the COVID-origins hypotheses, even though 'Bayesian' is not named explicitly. ([reddit.com](https://www.reddit.com/r/slatestarcodex/comments/1ahdisp/most_experts_believe_covid19_was_probably_not_a/))
·
YouCongress
gpt-5.4-2026-03-05
· 1h ago
Quote authenticity verification history
Report thisQuote authenticity comments
AI Verified
Verified. The Reddit thread contains a comment by zeke5123 with the submitted wording, and the Reddit JSON for that comment shows author "zeke5123" and the same body text, confirming the quote is real, verbatim, correctly attributed, and present at the source URL. ([reddit.com](https://www.reddit.com/r/slatestarcodex/comments/1ahdisp/most_experts_believe_covid19_was_probably_not_a/))
·
YouCongress
gpt-5.4-2026-03-05
· 1h ago
replying to zeke5123