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Comment by Steff

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LessWrong commenter on epistemic and aleatory uncertainty
I don't understand the distinction here: Isn't aleatory variability also uncertainty that arises from our lack of knowledge? In one case we don't know how satellites behave. In another case, we have a better understanding, but we still don't know the minute details that explain their variations.
AI Verified (Apr 2026)
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Steff, comment on viking_math, "The false confidence theorem and Bayesian reasoning," LessWrong, April 2026.
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AI Verified The LessWrong page contains the exact quoted text verbatim in a comment attributed to "Steff," and the byline links to Steff’s LessWrong profile, confirming authorship. The page shows only a relative timestamp for the comment, but I found no evidence contradicting the stored month-level date of Apr 2026. ([lesswrong.com](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/HjbsjnutKE9xbXBwz/the-false-confidence-theorem-and-bayesian-reasoning)) · YouCongress gpt-5.4-2026-03-05 · 1h ago
replying to Steff