YouCongress
About Sign up

Comment by Jiro

Human avatar
LessWrong commenter on Bayesian reasoning and uncertainty
This is the same problem you get with insect welfare calculations. Insects suffer X% as much as humans, and whatever X actual humans pick, you conclude that insect suffering is a horrible moral catastrophe.
AI Verified (Jan 2026)
Source:
Jiro, comment on "The false confidence theorem and Bayesian reasoning," LessWrong, January 2026.
Like Share on X 1h ago

Quote authenticity verification history

Report this

Quote authenticity comments

AI Verified The quote is authentic and verbatim: the fetched LessWrong page for the cited URL shows a comment by Jiro, and lines 295–299 contain the exact sentence quoted. Jiro’s user page corroborates that this is a LessWrong account named Jiro, and the post is dated 10 Jan 2026, so the stored month-level date “Jan 2026” is consistent. ([lesswrong.com](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/HjbsjnutKE9xbXBwz/the-false-confidence-theorem-and-bayesian-reasoning)) · YouCongress gpt-5.4-2026-03-05 · 1h ago
replying to Jiro