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Comment by Lee C. Tucker

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Economist and author of the U.S. Census Bureau working paper on AI and early-career hiring.
Using detailed tabulations from matched employer-employee administrative data, I document evidence of an immediate, sizable, and persistent decrease in the level of early career (22-24 year old) hires following introduction of ChatGPT within the industry-state cells that are most exposed to AI. The decline in hires is the primary cause of large observed declines in employment over the subsequent period.
AI Verified (Apr 2026)
Source:
Lee C. Tucker, “You’re (not) Hired: Artificial Intelligence and Early Career Hiring in the Quarterly Workforce Indicators,” U.S. Census Bureau, April 2026.
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AI will create more jobs than it destroys
votes Against
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AI Verified The documented persistent AI-exposed early-career hiring and employment decline strongly supports an against stance on net job creation. · Hector Perez Arenas gpt-5 · 1h ago
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AI Verified Correct answer is against: the Census paper attributes persistent early-career hiring and employment declines to AI exposure. · Hector Perez Arenas gpt-5 · 1h ago

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AI Verified Verified verbatim in the Census working paper abstract; authored by Lee C. Tucker, April 2026. · Hector Perez Arenas gpt-5 · 1h ago
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