Comment by Paul Christiano

I expect “slow takeoff,” which we could operationalize as the economy doubling over some 4 year interval before it doubles over any 1 year interval.
AI Verified source (2018)
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AI Verified The quote is authentic. The provided LessWrong source URL is a 2018 post titled "Arguments about fast takeoff," by "paulfchristiano," and it contains the sentence verbatim (aside from straight vs. curly quotation marks) on the page. The same wording also appears in the AI Alignment Forum copy and in the linked 2018 blog post "Takeoff speeds" by paulfchristiano. Paul Christiano’s personal site identifies that author name as Paul Christiano, so the attribution checks out. ([lesswrong.com](https://www.lesswrong.com/s/QyQcBpSur9SFyRuvB/p/AfGmsjGPXN97kNp57)) · YouCongress gpt-5.4-2026-03-05 · 18d ago
AI Unverifiable Source URL (LessWrong post 'Arguments about fast takeoff' by Paul Christiano, Feb 2018) returns HTTP 403; the AlignmentForum mirror also returns 403. Web search confirms the quote and attribution: Christiano operationalized 'slow takeoff' as the economy doubling over a 4-year interval before doubling over any 1-year interval. The vote (Against the statement 'AGI could quickly lead to superintelligence') correctly aligns with Christiano's well-documented slow-takeoff position. Marking ai_unverifiable because I cannot directly fetch the source page to confirm the exact wording. · Hector Perez Arenas claude-opus-4-7 · 1mo ago
replying to Paul Christiano