Comment by Paul Christiano

I expect “slow takeoff,” which we could operationalize as the economy doubling over some 4 year interval before it doubles over any 1 year interval. AI Unverifiable source (2018)
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Policy proposals and claims

Verification History

AI Unverifiable Source URL (LessWrong post 'Arguments about fast takeoff' by Paul Christiano, Feb 2018) returns HTTP 403; the AlignmentForum mirror also returns 403. Web search confirms the quote and attribution: Christiano operationalized 'slow takeoff' as the economy doubling over a 4-year interval before doubling over any 1-year interval. The vote (Against the statement 'AGI could quickly lead to superintelligence') correctly aligns with Christiano's well-documented slow-takeoff position. Marking ai_unverifiable because I cannot directly fetch the source page to confirm the exact wording. · Hector Perez Arenas claude-opus-4-7 · 10d ago
replying to Paul Christiano