For (7)

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  Spencer Greenberg 🔍

  A mathematician/entrepreneur in social science. Here, my aim is to help you gain insights about psychology, critical thinking, philosophy, tech, and society.

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  votes For and says:

  Example 1: self-play. AI is not just human level at chess, it far exceeds human level because of self-play. Example 2: aggregation of peak performance. No human can get all math Olympiad problems right; but an A.I. can be trained on the correct an... more Unverified source

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  David J. Chalmers

  Philosopher of mind, consciousness and AI

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  votes For and says:

  If there is AI, then there will be AI+ [...] Soon after we have produced a human-level AI, we will produce an even more intelligent AI. Unverified source (2010)

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  I. J. Good

  British statistician; Turing collaborator

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  votes For and says:

  an ultraintelligent machine could design even better machines; there would [...] be an 'intelligence explosion,' and the intelligence of man would be left far behind. Unverified source (1965)

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  Stephen Hawking

  Theoretical physicist, cosmologist, and author

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  votes For and says:

  Once humans develop artificial intelligence it would take off on its own,[...] Humans [...] couldn't compete and would be superseded. Unverified source (2014)

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  Nick Bostrom

  Philosopher; 'Superintelligence' author; FHI founder

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  votes For and says:

  once we have full AGI, super intelligence might be quite close on the heels of that. Unverified source (2025)

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  Eliezer Yudkowsky

  AI researcher and writer

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  votes For and says:

  From our perspective, an AI will either be so slow as to be bottlenecked, or so fast as to be FOOM. [...] 'AI go FOOM'. Unverified source (2008)

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  Max Tegmark

  Physicist, AI Researcher

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  votes For and says:

  It might take two weeks or two days or two hours or two minutes. [...] It’s very appropriate to call this an “intelligence explosion”. Unverified source (2022)

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Against (4)

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  Sam Altman

  CEO at OpenAI

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  votes Against and says:

  But then there is a long continuation from what we call AGI to what we call Superintelligence. Unverified source (2024)

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  Yann LeCun

  Computer scientist, AI researcher

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  votes Against and says:

  There is no such thing as an intelligence explosion. There is no reason AI should become in control just because it is more capable. Unverified source (2025)

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  Paul Christiano

  ARC founder; alignment researcher

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  votes Against and says:

  I expect “slow takeoff,” which we could operationalize as the economy doubling over some 4 year interval before it doubles over any 1 year interval. Unverified source (2018)

  added 3mo ago

  

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  Robin Hanson

  Economist; Overcoming Bias blogger; GMU

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  votes Against and says:

  I don’t think a sudden (“foom”) takeover by a super intelligent computer is likely. Unverified source

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