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AGI will create abundance
Cast your vote:
Results (22 votes):
Total
(22 votes)
For 14 (64%)
Abstain 2 (9%)
Against 6 (27%)
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For (13)
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Bill GatesPhilanthropist. Founder and former CEO of Microsoft.votes For and says:
There is no upper limit on how intelligent AIs will get or on how good robots will get, and I believe the advances will not plateau before exceeding human levels. [...] AI capabilities will allow us to make far more goods and services with less labor...
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Dario AmodeiCEO at Anthropicvotes For and says:
I don’t know exactly when it’ll come, I don’t know if it’ll be 2027. I think it’s plausible it could be longer than that. I don’t think it will be a whole bunch longer than that when AI systems are better than humans at almost everything. Better than...
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Vinod KhoslaVenture capitalist; Khosla Ventures foundervotes For and says:
Artificial intelligence is different. It's past the point where a difference in degree becomes a difference in kind. AI amplifies and multiplies the human brain, much like steam engines once amplified muscle power. Before engines, we consumed food fo...
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Mustafa SuleymanMicrosoft AI CEO; authorvotes For and says:
I honestly believe we are approaching an era of radical abundance. We are about to distill the essence of what makes us capable — our intelligence — into a piece of software, which can get cheaper, easier to use, more widely available to everybody. A...
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Peter H. DiamandisXPRIZE founder; entrepreneur; futurist authorvotes For and says:
While many are fearful of AI, there are some (including myself) who believe that beyond the AI Singularity lies an incredible world of abundance. As detailed in Abundance: The Future is Better Than you Think (2012), exponential technologies have the...
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Marc AndreessenGeneral Partner at a16z (VC), co-founder of Netscapevotes For and says:
It would mean a takeoff rate of economic productivity growth that would be absolutely stratospheric, far beyond any historical precedent. Prices of existing goods and services would drop across the board to virtually zero. Consumer welfare would skyr...
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Elon MuskFounder of SpaceX, cofounder of Tesla, SolarCity & PayPalvotes For and says:
But if you have ubiquitous AI that is essentially free or close to it, and ubiquitous robotics, then you will have an explosion in the global economy—an expansion in the global economy that is truly beyond all precedent. [...] My prediction, in the b...
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Masayoshi SonSoftBank founder and CEOvotes For and says:
AGI is coming very, very soon. [...] This is the beginning of our golden age.
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Nick BostromPhilosopher; 'Superintelligence' author; FHI foundervotes For and says:
[...] which, with the right economic policies, would inaugurate an age of abundance.
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Satya NadellaMicrosoft CEOvotes For and says:
I'm much more focused on the benefits to all of us. I am haunted by the fact that the industrial revolution didn't touch the parts of the world where I grew up until much later. So I am looking for the thing that may be even bigger than the industria...
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Jensen HuangNvidia cofounder and CEOvotes For and says:
AI is likely to close the technology divide, because it is so easy to use and so abundant and so accessible. [...] I'm optimistic about the potential of AI to lift the countries that are emerging. [...] We need to make sure that the average pensioner...
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Ben SouthwoodAI economist and commentatorvotes For and says:
Because post-superintelligence abundance will be so great, agreements to share power and benefits should strongly be in the leader’s national self-interest: as we noted in the section on abundance, having only 80% of a very large pie is much more des...
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Calum ChaceFuturist author and speakervotes For and says:
The economic singularity can liberate us from wage slavery, and spark a second renaissance. But we will need a different form of capitalism – fully automated luxury capitalism – to achieve the economy of abundance. The technological singularity is w...
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Abstain (0)
Against (5)
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Tim DettmersMachine learning researchervotes Against and says:
The concept of superintelligence is built on a flawed premise. The idea is that once you have an intelligence that is as good or better than humans — in other words, AGI — then that intelligence can improve itself, leading to a runaway effect. This i...
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Milton MuellerProfessor at Georgia Tech School of Public Policy; internet governance scholar and co-founder of the Internet Governance Projectvotes Against and says:
Tech CEOs, futurists, and venture capitalists describe artificial general intelligence (AGI) as if it were an inevitable and ultimate goal for technology development. In reality, the term is a vague signifier for a technology that will somehow lead t...
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Alex HannaAI sociologist and researchervotes Against and says:
In reality, the term is a vague signifier for a technology that will somehow lead to endless abundance for humankind.
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Daron AcemogluNobel laureate economist; MIT Institute Professor; author of Power and Progressvotes Against and says:
Many go even further. Ray Kurzweil, a prominent executive, inventor, and author, has confidently argued that the technologies associated with AI are on their way to achieving “superintelligence” or “singularity”—meaning that we will reach boundless p...
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David KruegerCambridge faculty - AI alignment, DL, and existential safety. Formerly Mila, FHI, DeepMind, ElementAI, AISI.votes Against and says:
Yeah AGI likely does the opposite of creating post-scarcity. I wish people would realize this.
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