Expert opinions on Impact On Labor

I believe that AI will be a productivity boom for this country. [...] If the economy grows and GDP grows, which is what happens in productivity, you actually create more jobs or you don't lose jobs because you need more jobs for what's going on in th...

But credible experts disagree about AI’s economic impact.

In the long run, it may just be both instead of one or the other: both forces that are making it harder and harder for people to get jobs initially and also ramp up in their career going forward.

Proposals under consideration include requiring independent third parties to be embedded in frontier AI companies to verify safety frameworks and independently assess safety evaluations, as well as requiring companies to develop an emergency shutoff,...

the bad news: Dario estimates that in 6 months AI will have the ability to take over the internet the worse news: Anthropic's current commitment to stopping this is... putting independent evaluators in desks in their office have a great day

They really become part of the company, which makes it difficult to criticize it because the staffers become almost your friends.

With AI, although potential compensatory mechanisms such as new tasks and productivity gains are promised, history cautions us that such benefits are neither automatic nor equitably shared. [...] Prominent tax scholars have argued that a new, targete...

To date, BPC has not taken a position on whether AI should be taxed and does not endorse any particular option in this issue brief. [...] The code treats labor and capital differently: Employers owe payroll taxes on wages, while investments in equipm...

The proposals differ in detail, but they cite the same story: Labor’s share of national income has declined, and AI is accelerating workers’ losses by shifting more economic activity to capital. The tax code makes all of this worse by undertaxing cap...

AI isn’t going away. Barring unprecedented global government coordination, it isn’t even slowing down. The only real decision is whether to centralize power, or disperse it. Do you fear the technology? Or a small number of people controlling the te...

The “AGI-squashes-everyone” idea is unlikely, though not impossible. If American companies end up becoming dominant, my bet is that it will be because of the business ecosystems they build – not because they crossed a technological threshold that ren...

Market forces will make adoption go faster and faster and, unless we intervene, there will be fewer good jobs available and the benefits will accrue to a small group.

Though a “permanent underclass” is not an imminent reality, in the near term AI could make some people richer and others worse off.

But each time humanity has come out with more people sharing greater prosperity, health, and freedom. We believe this will be true with AI as well, and the abundance of the future can be shared by everyone.

While this may seem dire, none of it is inevitable. The same machines that build drones can build houses and hospitals, and within a decade or so of full automation, it would be possible to extend the living standards of a wealthy American to every h...

If AI delivers even a fraction of its potential, it could generate unprecedented abundance. We could see decades of scientific progress compressed into years, and levels of productivity growth that today seem implausible.

AGI is generally understood as an AI system that can match or exceed human capabilities on most economically valuable tasks. In such a world, the automation of work would not be limited to specific industries or routine jobs. Instead, machines would ...

But each time humanity has come out with more people sharing greater prosperity, health, and freedom. We believe this will be true with AI as well, and the abundance of the future can be shared by everyone.

Eventually, we need some form of universal basic income for everybody while they work and once they retire.

Universal basic income is a policy prescription that those people calling for it tended to believe in years earlier, before they had even heard of AI, and now it fits this scenario. I do not know what the outcomes and therefore the mitigations of AI ...

They present themselves as benefactors, they turn recipients of universal basic income into passive beneficiaries of a system they do not control and, above all, they shift the focus: Instead of questioning the concentration of capital and power, we ...

Eventually, we need some form of universal basic income for everybody while they work and once they retire.

The answer to that fear is to make job loss less scary by building a new unemployment program.