The first company or companies to develop AGI could gain control over a majority of economic activity

For (8)

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  Daniel Kokotajlo

  AI Futures Project founder

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  votes For and says:

  We will end up in a very concentrated world where there's like one to five giant networks of data centres owned by one to five companies, possibly in coordination with their governments. [...] If you've only got one to five companies and they each ha...

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  Tobias Sytsma

  Economist at RAND Corporation researching AI, automation, and the economics of foundation models

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  votes For and says:

  AGI may differ from past general-purpose technologies in ways that would allow a leader to turn an early advantage into decisive economic advantage.

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  Andrew Yang

  2020 US Presidential Candidate

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  votes For and says:

  If these same companies succeed in building artificial general intelligence and deploying AI agents that displace human workers at scale, we'd face catastrophic power concentration. A few tech giants would control not just information, but the entire...

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  Geoffrey Hinton

  Godfather of Deep Learning

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  votes For and says:

  I think the people who run the big tech companies — the very high up people, not all of them, but a lot of them — think we are going to get to AGI. Whoever gets there first is going to have immense power and be able to make immense profits by replaci...

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  Larry Fink

  Chairman and CEO of BlackRock

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  votes For and says:

  Transformative technologies create enormous value—and much of that value accrues to the companies that build and deploy them, and to the investors who own them. The companies with the data, infrastructure, and capital to deploy AI at scale are positi...

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  Jack Clark

  Anthropic cofounder and policy researcher

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  votes For and says:

  We should expect for an increasing chunk of the economy to get colonized by a new generation of companies which are either capital-heavy (because they own a lot of computers), or opex-heavy (because they spend a lot of money on AI services which they...

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  Arthur Mensch

  Mistral AI co-founder and CEO

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  votes For and says:

  We don't want to be in a world where three or four enormous companies actually own the deployment and making of AI. [...] In a world where multiple digits of the GDP are going to be produced by AI in the coming two years, we need to ensure that every...

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  Stuart J. Russell

  AI Expert and Professor

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  votes For and says:

  Whichever company develops AGI first would have a significant advantage that would then increase relative to the other companies. That company — or a small handful of companies — may control a majority of economic activity on the planet and governmen...

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Against (2)

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  Satya Nadella

  Microsoft CEO

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  votes Against and says:

  The big winners here are not going to be tech companies. The winners are going to be the broader industry that uses this commodity [...] that, by the way, is abundant. Suddenly productivity goes up and the economy is growing at a faster rate.

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  Yann LeCun

  Computer scientist, AI researcher

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  votes Against and says:

  There is nothing qualitatively different between the previous technological revolutions and this one. It's just another set of tools that makes us more efficient. [...] Don't listen to CEOs [...] They have a vested interest in propping up the power o...

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