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Comment by Daniel Kokotajlo

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AI Futures Project founder
We will end up in a very concentrated world where there's like one to five giant networks of data centres owned by one to five companies, possibly in coordination with their governments. [...] If you've only got one to five companies and they each have one to three of their smartest AIs in a million copies, then that means there's basically 10 minds that between those 10 minds get to decide almost everything.
AI Verified source (2026)
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Policy proposals and claims
The first company or companies to develop AGI could gain control over a majority of economic activity
votes For
Statement relation verification history AI Verified

Statement relation comments

AI Verified The quote clearly implies support: it predicts a future with only a few AI companies owning the key infrastructure, and says their AIs would 'decide almost everything.' That strongly supports the idea that the AGI-leading company or companies could control most economic activity, even though it does not explicitly say 'the first' developers. · YouCongress gpt-5.4-2026-03-05 · 3d ago
Vote inference verification history AI Unverifiable

Vote answer comments

AI Unverifiable The quote predicts concentration — "one to five companies" whose AIs "get to decide almost everything" — but it does not specifically say the *first* AGI company or companies would gain control, or explicitly frame that as control over a majority of economic activity. · YouCongress gpt-5.4-2026-03-05 · 3d ago

Quote authenticity verification history

Verification History

AI Verified The 80,000 Hours transcript at the cited source attributes this passage to Daniel Kokotajlo in the “What post-AGI looks like” section, and the wording matches your quote with only an omitted middle portion marked by [...]. Note: the source page is published October 20, 2025, so the source year appears to be 2025 rather than 2026. ([80000hours.org](https://80000hours.org/podcast/episodes/daniel-kokotajlo-ai-2027-updates-china-robot-economy/)) · YouCongress gpt-5.4-2026-03-05 · 4d ago
AI Verified Source_url (80000hours.org podcast episode #225) returned HTTP 403 to direct fetch, but I independently confirmed the quote via web search. The passages "one to five giant networks of data centres owned by one to five companies, possibly in coordination with their governments" and the "one to three of their smartest AIs in a million copies... basically 10 minds that between those 10 minds get to decide almost everything" match the episode content verbatim. Author attribution (Daniel Kokotajlo, AI Futures Project founder) is correct. The vote "for" correctly aligns with statement #447 ("The first company or companies to develop AGI could gain control over a majority of economic activity") — the quote directly describes extreme concentration of decision-making power among a handful of AI companies. Note: some sources describe this as a 2025 episode, but the year (2025/2026) is within the acceptable recent range. · Hector Perez Arenas claude-opus-4-7 · 20d ago
replying to Daniel Kokotajlo