Expert opinions on AI

Over the long term, the labor market would adjust in ways that create new jobs and augment the productivity of existing jobs, boosting real wages.

Labour market economists have long demonstrated that the amount of work in the economy is not fixed, and that labour market adjustments can create more jobs. Yet this ‘lump of labour fallacy’ is still applied to debates about technological innovation...

But from me, from my version, definitely from the communities which we are coming from, the employment is often taken away because of AI from our people, which is a reality.

Decisions involving the use of force, escalation, or nuclear command-and-control must remain subject to meaningful human control and accountable command.

The Government strongly believes that there is a need to maintain meaningful human control of all weapons systems, including any systems that may be developed. Our position is that, for such systems to comply with international humanitarian law, cont...

I don’t see how an effective arms control regime is possible.

We could lower taxation on human workers and raise taxation on capital investments like AI. A shift away from taxing people to taxing capital will recognize the important role that humans play in generating the data on which artificial intelligence r...

The proposals differ in detail, but they cite the same story: Labor’s share of national income has declined, and AI is accelerating workers’ losses by shifting more economic activity to capital. The tax code makes all of this worse by undertaxing cap...

Competition policy also has a role to play in ensuring that the gains from the technology are diffused and shared widely rather than becoming unduly concentrated among a small number of firms.

Young people are increasingly worried about the implication of AI on their job opportunities. These instances emphasize the urgency of broader discussion on how to build a social consensus around those challenges at a speed commensurate with the spee...

AI may instead exacerbate inequality, eliminating some lower- and middle-income jobs while boosting the income and wealth of higher-income individuals. Since we don't know which of these futures will come about, it is useful to use potential scenario...

Great technological transitions only result in meaningful social progress when they are shaped actively and decisively. The Industrial Revolution – often casually invoked to describe the possibilities of AI – saw fifty years of wage stagnation while ...

Understanding is not a property that an isolated system possesses. It is a capacity enacted within a field of co-constructed meaning. [...] Under such a criterion, AI systems already exhibit non-trivial forms of this contribution.

We mistake a simulation for the thing simulated.

If we keep barreling forward, we risk a lot… up to human extinction.

So when people predict a high degree of existential risk from AGI, I don’t actually think “arguing back” on their chosen terms is the correct response. Radical agnosticism is the correct response, where all specific scenarios are pretty unlikely. Non...

The real challenge isn’t stopping an AI apocalypse — it’s crafting smart, sector-specific policies that keep technology aligned with human values. To avoid being a victim of AI, humans can, and should, put up focused guardrails.

There are a lot of potentially good outcomes from AI. I think the most likely outcomes are good. But the risk of bad and even catastrophic outcomes is high enough to be worth taking seriously. We should actively build safety mechanisms in case we nee...

Throwing more words and GPUs into the word-guessing program won't make it sentient. [...] one of our mares gives birth to a locomotive.

ABUNDANCE IS COMING. THE QUESTION IS WHO IT'S COMING FOR.

AI could make goods and services cheaper than ever, raising hopes for a new age of abundance where scarcity plays a smaller role in human life.

Using practical theories tested in the real world across different circumstances—as opposed to opinions or analyses based on data that does not yet exist—suggests there may be important twists ahead that should lead us to question whether a “world of...

I believe Sovereign AI is going to be one of the most important things this government does to build a better future for our country.

The EU’s ambition to triple data centre capacity is the right one. But the way to achieve that goal is by attracting investment, not shutting it out.

We reiterate bipartisan calls for strict enforcement of export controls and the closure of loopholes that allow AI chips and manufacturing equipment to reach Beijing.

China consistently opposes any practice of overstretching the concept of national security and abusing export controls.

We think it’s still good to recommend what would actually be good, even if you think that your audience is probably not going to listen.

A doctrine whose trigger mechanism can be this thoroughly disputed cannot function as a deterrent. Deterrence requires certainty. MAD worked because both sides knew, with something close to certainty, what a launch would produce. MACD, as currently s...

Advanced AI capabilities, computing infrastructure, and investment remain concentrated among a limited number of actors. Inclusive governance must ensure that all countries have the capacity and voice to shape how AI is developed, deployed, and regul...

The Republic of Korea declared our vision for establishing global AI hub together with 9 participating UN and related organizations to contribute to strengthening of global AI capacity.

But the main regret I have with this talk is that I wish I had prepared a more for the section on a “CERN for AI.” The idea behind such a project is to pool many countries’ and companies’ resources into a single (possibly physically decentralized) ci...

Currently, so many needs for innovation are put under the label of AI that there will be no way to address them with a single organisation.

AI tools can no longer “excessively cater to users, induce emotional dependence or addiction, and damage users’ real interpersonal relationships,” while also banning virtual relationships with minors.

Children have given us a clear diagnosis of the problem. They aren't asking us to block AI innovation, but it shouldn't be a case of cleaning up the mess after harm has happened either.

No company should deploy an AI system accessible to children without child-specific safety testing and independent oversight.