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AI poses an existential threat to humanity
Cast your vote:
Results (94 votes):
Total
(94 votes)
For 62 (66%)
Abstain 1 (1%)
Against 31 (33%)
·
For (53)
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Bernie SandersU.S. Senator from Vermontvotes For and says:
And by the way, there's the existential threat that as AI becomes smarter than humans, it can [...] become independent and lead to catastrophic impacts.
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Brad ShermanU.S. representative from California.votes For and says:
Now, I don't quote that just to be revered as the prophet that I obviously am, but because my highest concern about artificial intelligence, both then and now, is that despite my consistent efforts, we haven't addressed the existential threat that it...
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Stuart J. RussellAI Expert and Professorvotes For and says:
For governments to allow private entities to essentially play Russian roulette with every human being on earth is, in my view, a total dereliction of duty. [...] Each of the CEOs of the main AI companies, I believe, wants to disarm, Russell said, but...
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Liron ShapiraTech investor and AI risk commentator; host of Doom Debates podcastvotes For and says:
The real extinction-level AI safety challenge, the reason we’re nowhere close to surviving superintelligence, is something else — something AI companies decided they won’t mention anymore, because it exposes their AI safety efforts as a shockingly in...
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Lord Fairfax of CameronScottish hereditary peer; Conservative member of the UK House of Lords; AI safety advocatevotes For and says:
In the face of these threats, I urge the Government to take the following steps: first, to publicly recognise that superintelligence poses an extinction threat to humanity; secondly, for the UK to prevent the development of superintelligence on its s...
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Anthony AguirrePhysicist; Future of Life cofoundervotes For and says:
We are approaching a runaway to superintelligence that could threaten our shared human future. Both publicly and privately, AI companies are recognizing that a pause or slowdown in certain developmental pathways is crucial to protect lives and liveli...
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Alana Horowitz FriedmanMIRI writervotes For and says:
An off switch refers to building the necessary technical, legal, and institutional infrastructure to make it possible for humanity to shut down unsafe AI systems and AI projects. It will also make it possible to verify that there is no dangerous AI d...
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David KruegerCambridge faculty - AI alignment, DL, and existential safety. Formerly Mila, FHI, DeepMind, ElementAI, AISI.votes For and says:
AI might literally lead to human extinction, in the same way that humans have caused many other species to go extinct.
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Elizabeth BarnesFounder and CEO of METR (Model Evaluation & Threat Research); AI safety researcher; previously at OpenAI and DeepMindvotes For and says:
We are likely on track to develop AI systems capable of causing human extinction/permanent disempowerment, quite possibly within the next few years.
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Geoffrey HintonGodfather of Deep Learningvotes For and says:
We should be careful to construct in a way where we still continue to exist, and we can live in harmony with it. [...] Very few resources are being put into it. Maybe one percent.
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Andrea MiottiFounder and CEO of ControlAIvotes For and says:
Many people working in AI feel like they're living within a lie. Privately, they know that the current reckless pursuit of superintelligent AI poses an extinction threat to our species, but publicly they keep quiet so as to not rock the boat and risk...
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Helen TonerInterim Executive Director at Georgetown University's Center for Security and Emerging Technology (CSET); former OpenAI board membervotes For and says:
Right now…the winner of any AI race between the U.S. and China is the AI. We need to be working to make sure that is not the case. I think it is very important that the U.S. AI sector remains ahead of the Chinese AI sector, but if that's at the expen...
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Nate SoaresAI safety researcher; MIRI presidentvotes For and says:
If we build it using anything remotely like modern methods, on anything remotely like the current understanding or lack of understanding that we have about AI, then yeah, building it anytime soon would be a death sentence.
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Tristan HarrisCenter for Humane Technology cofoundervotes For and says:
We are extremely close to recursive self-improvement right now. The companies, I think, are planning to do this in the next 12 months. The asteroid is coming for Earth.
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Hieu PhamOpenAI engineer and AI researcher; formerly at xAI, Google Brain, and Augment Codevotes For and says:
Today, I finally feel the existential threat that AI is posing. When AI becomes overly good and disrupts everything, what will be left for humans to do? And it's when, not if.
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Spencer CoxGovernor of Utah; chair of the National Governors Association (2024–2025)votes For and says:
Let's use this technology to benefit humankind, and let's regulate it to make sure they don't destroy humankind. I don't think that's a contradiction. I think that's common sense, and I think that's where most Americans are. [...] It's one thing if w...
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James CameronFilm director; Titanic and Avatarvotes For and says:
I do think there’s still a danger of a Terminator-style apocalypse where you put AI together with weapons systems [...]
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Samuel ButeauAI researcher and PhD candidate at Mila (Quebec AI Institute).votes For and says:
Barring an international agreement, humanity will quite likely not have the ability to build safe superintelligence by the time the first superintelligence is built. Therefore, pursuing superintelligence at this stage is quite likely to cause the per...
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Roman V. YampolskiyAI safety researcher, Louisville professorvotes For and says:
If we create general superintelligences, I don’t see a good outcome long-term for humanity. So there is X-risk, existential risk, everyone’s dead.
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Roman YampolskiyAI safety and security researchervotes For and says:
If we create general superintelligences, I don’t see a good outcome long-term for humanity. So there is X-risk, existential risk, everyone’s dead.
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The FLI TeamAI safety think tank staffvotes For and says:
The view that “mitigating the risk of extinction from AI should be a global priority alongside other societal-scale risks such as pandemics and nuclear war” is now mainstream, with that statement being endorsed by a who’s who of AI experts and though...
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Yuval Noah HarariIsraeli historian and professor at the Hebrew University of Jerusalemvotes For and says:
It was not powerful enough to destroy humanity. AI is. If religious wars resume [...] with AI and nuclear bombs, I don't think humanity would survive.
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Toby OrdOxford philosopher; The Precipice authorvotes For and says:
I guess one thing I could just say first is it’s not necessarily a 1-in-10 chance that we go extinct due to advanced AI; it was a 1-in-10 chance of existential catastrophe due to AI. I think it might have been Paul Christiano where I saw this laid ou...
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Eliezer YudkowskyAI researcher and writervotes For and says:
the most likely result of building a superhumanly smart AI, under anything remotely like the current circumstances, is that literally everyone on Earth will die.
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Kamala HarrisU.S. Vice President, 2021–2025votes For and says:
[...] it also has the potential to cause profound harm. [...] they could endanger the very existence of humanity. We must manage all these dangers [...].
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Emad MostaqueStability AI foundervotes For and says:
I don’t get folk who say there is no existential risk from AGI. [...] There’s so many ways to wipe out humanity [...]
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Eric SchmidtFormer Google CEO; tech investorvotes For and says:
My concern with AI is, actually, existential, and existential risk is defined as many, many, many, many people harmed or killed.
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Kai-Fu LeeAI entrepreneur and authorvotes For and says:
My view is that autonomous weapons are the most dangerous existential threat that AI poses to humanity.
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Stephen HawkingTheoretical physicist, cosmologist, and authorvotes For and says:
I fear that AI may replace humans altogether. If people design computer viruses, someone will design AI that replicates itself.
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Elon MuskFounder of SpaceX, cofounder of Tesla, SolarCity & PayPalvotes For and says:
It could kill us all. [...] We don't want to have a Terminator outcome.
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Nick BostromPhilosopher; 'Superintelligence' author; FHI foundervotes For and says:
the greatest existential risks over the coming decades or century arise from certain, anticipated technological breakthroughs that we might make in particular, machine super intelligence,
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Sam HarrisAmerican author, philosopher, and neuroscientistvotes For and says:
I’m going to describe how the gains we make in artificial intelligence could ultimately destroy us.
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Michael VassarFuturist and entrepreneurvotes For and says:
If greater-than-human artificial general intelligence is invented without due caution, [...] the human species will be extinct in very short order.
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Sam AltmanCEO at OpenAIvotes For and says:
Development of superhuman machine intelligence (SMI) [1] is probably the greatest threat to the continued existence of humanity. There are other threats that I think are more certain to happen (for example, an engineered virus with a long incubation ...
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Sir Clive SinclairBritish inventor and entrepreneurvotes For and says:
Once you start to make machines that are rivalling and surpassing humans with intelligence, it's going to be very difficult for us to survive.
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Bill JoySun Microsystems cofounder; computer scientistvotes For and says:
How soon could such an intelligent robot be built? The coming advances in computing power seem to make it possible by 2030. And once an intelligent robot exists, it is only a small step to a robot species—to an intelligent robot that can make evolved...
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AI Safety and Governance FundAI-safety advocacy organizationvotes For and says:DelegateChoose a list of delegatesto vote as the majority of them.Unless you vote directly.
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Paul Tudor JonesAmerican hedge fund manager and philanthropist; founder and CIO of Tudor Investment Corporation; co-founder of the Robin Hood Foundationvotes For and says:
We need to do it tomorrow. We're late already. We should have already done it.
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Yoshua BengioAI Pioneer, Turing Award winnervotes For and says:
Besides loss of control, the other catastrophic possibility is humans using AI to construct an eventually worldwide dictatorship. A small group of humans could concentrate all the power that AI will have, especially if we achieve AGI or superintellig...
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Scott AlexanderAuthor and psychiatristvotes For and says:
If AI doesn't kill us, and there's no permanent dictatorship, and there's no permanent underclass, then we get a post-scarcity society, plus superintelligent AIs that we can set to working on other problems like disease and social decay.
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David DalrympleAI safety researcher; Programme Director, Safeguarded AI at ARIA (UK)votes For and says:
In 2024 I would have said it's about 40-50% likely that LLMs scaled up to ASI would end up killing us all; now I would say that it's only about 5-8% likely even with no additional progress on alignment, and more like 1-2% likely simpliciter.
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Vitalik ButerinEthereum cofounder; technologistvotes For and says:
Once AI becomes powerful enough to be truly dangerous, it's maximizing the risk of an irreversible anti-human outcome that even you will deeply regret.
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Pia LauritzenDanish philosopher and leadership adviservotes For and says:
It poses an existential threat because it offers answers faster than humans can ask the questions that help them contemplate their existence.
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Mark BeallPresident of Government Affairs at the AI Policy Network.votes For and says:
When AI researchers warn of extinction and tech leaders build doomsday bunkers, prudence demands we listen. Superintelligence without proper safeguards could be the ultimate expression of human hubris—power without moral restraint.
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Vernor VingeScience fiction author and computer scientistvotes For and says:
Within thirty years, we will have the technological means to create superhuman intelligence. Shortly after, the human era will be ended.
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Yanis VaroufakisFormer finance minister of Greece, is Professor of Economics at the University of Athensvotes For and says:
[Palantir had effectively signalled a willingness] to add to nuclear Armageddon the AI-driven threat to humanity's existence.
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Max TegmarkPhysicist, AI Researchervotes For and says:
Sadly, I now feel that we’re living the movie “Don’t look up” for another existential threat: unaligned superintelligence. [...] We need more time. [...] Just look up!
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Connor LeahyConjecture CEO; AI safety researchervotes For and says:
Most of the AI safety community has been far too coy about extinction risk. We're not. It's not that complicated: AI smarter than humanity poses an unacceptable risk of human extinction, and we need an [international ban].
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Mrinank SharmaFormer head of Safeguards Research Team at Anthropic; Oxford Ph.D. in machine learning; AI safety researchervotes For and says:
Throughout my time here, I've repeatedly seen how hard it is to truly let our values govern our actions. I've seen this within myself, within the organization, where we constantly face pressures to set aside what matters most, and throughout broader ...
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Machine Intelligence Research InstituteNonprofit focused on advanced AI safetyvotes For and says:
Suppose that frontier AI development is centralized to a single project under tight international controls, with all other development banned internationally. By far the likeliest outcome of this is that we all die. A centralized group of internatio...
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Machine Intelligence Research Institute (MIRI)AI safety research institutevotes For and says:
Suppose that frontier AI development is centralized to a single project under tight international controls, with all other development banned internationally. By far the likeliest outcome of this is that we all die. A centralized group of internation...
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Dario AmodeiCEO at Anthropicvotes For and says:
It’s very frightening. [...] an AI system that doesn’t take over the world, that doesn’t destroy humanity, then [...] follow basic human laws.
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OpenAIAI research organizationvotes For and says:
First, we need some degree of coordination among the leading development efforts to ensure that the development of superintelligence occurs in a manner that allows us to both maintain safety and help smooth integration of these systems with society. ...
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Abstain (1)
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Tyler CowenProfessor of Economics, George Mason University & author of Average is Overabstains and says:
So when people predict a high degree of existential risk from AGI, I don’t actually think “arguing back” on their chosen terms is the correct response. Radical agnosticism is the correct response, where all specific scenarios are pretty unlikely. Non...
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Against (31)
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Cory DoctorowAuthor and digital rights activistvotes Against and says:
These fears (or hopes) of a nascent superintelligence that will spontaneously arise if we just give enough computing power and training data to large language models are absurd on their face.
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Yann LeCunComputer scientist, AI researchervotes Against and says:
There is nothing qualitatively different between the previous technological revolutions and this one, [...] It's just another set of tools that makes us more efficient.
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David SacksWhite House AI and crypto czarvotes Against and says:
AI has become the new climate change. It's this imminent catastrophe that is requiring all this government intervention. But there's very little evidence to support it.
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Michael KratsiosU.S. OSTP Directorvotes Against and says:
We totally reject all efforts by international bodies to assert centralized control and global governance of AI. [...] Ideological fixations on social equity, climate catastrophism and so-called existential risk are dangers to progress and obstacles ...
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Toby WalshScientia Professor of Artificial Intelligencevotes Against and says:
Some tech leaders think AI could outsmart us and wipe out humanity. I’m a professor of AI – and I’m not worried.
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Shannon VallorPhilosopher of AI, Edinburghvotes Against and says:
It’s not the machines themselves. It’s the rhetoric of AI today [...] That’s the existential threat.
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Michael WooldridgeOxford AI professor; multi-agent systems expertvotes Against and says:
In all the discussion around existential threat, nobody has ever given me a plausible scenario for how AI might be an existential risk.
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Melanie MitchellAI researcher; complexity scientist and authorvotes Against and says:
There are a lot of kinds of dangers with AI. It can be used to produce disinformation and deepfakes. There are algorithmic biases, like the one I mentioned in the case of facial recognition. Hinton and others go further and say these systems could ac...
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Pedro DomingosProfessor of computer science at UW and author of 'The Master Algorithm'votes Against and says:
I don’t think we’re going too fast at all. In fact, I don’t think we’re going fast enough. If AI is going to do things like cure cancer, do we want to have the cure years from now or yesterday? What is the point of a six-month moratorium? To me, that...
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Marc AndreessenGeneral Partner at a16z (VC), co-founder of Netscapevotes Against and says:
The development and proliferation of AI – far from a risk that we should fear – is a moral obligation that we have to ourselves, to our children, and to our future. We should be living in a much better world with AI, and now we can. [...] Rather t...
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Gary MarcusProfessor of Psychology and Neural Sciencevotes Against and says:
In many ways, I think it’s a threat to democracy. That’s not a threat to humanity.
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Clem ChambersInvestor and financial writervotes Against and says:
AI isn't going to destroy mankind. [...] Machines are incredible to power things but it is only in fantasy that they are malignant.
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Andrew NgBaidu; Stanford CS faculty; founded Coursera and Google Brainvotes Against and says:
I have to admit, I don’t get it, [...] I’m struggling to see how AI could pose any meaningful risk for our extinction.
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Noel SharkeyEmeritus AI and robotics professorvotes Against and says:
AI poses many dangers to humanity but there is no existential threat or any evidence for one.
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Rashik ParmarBCS CEO; IT professional body leadervotes Against and says:
Over 1,300 technologists and leaders signed our open letter calling AI a force for good rather than an existential threat to humanity.
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Satya NadellaMicrosoft CEOvotes Against and says:
I'm much more focused on the benefits to all of us. I am haunted by the fact that the industrial revolution didn't touch the parts of the world where I grew up until much later. So I am looking for the thing that may be even bigger than the industria...
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Steven PinkerCognitive scientist and authorvotes Against and says:
I'm on record as being skeptical of that scenario and dubious about the value of putting a lot of effort into worrying about it now.
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Cassie KozyrkovFormer Google Chief Decision Scientistvotes Against and says:
Using AI responsibly is our human responsibility. I’m not scared at all, AI is just a tool. But am i scared of people? Maybe.
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Garry KasparovChess champion and pro-democracy activistvotes Against and says:
AI is not a magic wand, but it is not a terminator. It’s not a harbinger of utopia or dystopia.
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Cassie KozyrkovDecision scientist; AI advisorvotes Against and says:
Using AI responsibly is our human responsibility. I’m not scared at all, AI is just a tool. But am i scared of people? Maybe.
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Mark ZuckerbergMeta CEO; Facebook co-foundervotes Against and says:
With AI especially, I am really optimistic [...] naysayers [...] doomsday scenarios — I just, I don't understand it. I think it's really negative [...] it is pretty irresponsible.
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Rodney BrooksRoboticist; former MIT CSAIL directorvotes Against and says:
he does a good job of arguing against the hysteria that Artificial Intelligence is an existential threat to humanity.
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Edward Moore GeistHistorian of science and nuclear policyvotes Against and says:
The risks of self-improving intelligent machines are grossly exaggerated and ought not serve as a distraction from the existential risks we already face, [...]
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Oren EtzioniAI2 founder; UW professorvotes Against and says:
AI is not going to exterminate us, it’s going to empower us, [...] AI has a huge potential benefit for humanity.
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Joanna BrysonAI ethics researchervotes Against and says:
But it's not an existential threat, [...] It's just a horrible, awful weapon.
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Eva HamrudScience writer covering AI and technologyvotes Against and says:
Despite this, it currently seems to be unlikely to become an existential threat to humanity.
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Jürgen SchmidhuberAI pioneer; deep learning researchervotes Against and says:
Well, I’ll tell you anyway: personally, I’m not worried. I have been trying to build something capable of replacing me since the 1980s, because I consider that effort exciting and fascinating, and because I believe that it’s the natural next step for...
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Marvin MinskyAI pioneer, Turing Award laureatevotes Against and says:
Does this mean that machines will replace us? I don't feel that it makes much sense to think in terms of "us" and "them." I much prefer the attitude of Hans Moravec of Carnegie-Mellon University, who suggests that we think of those future intelligent...
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Jensen HuangNvidia cofounder and CEOvotes Against and says:
Scaring people by saying non-sensical things which are not going to happen like AI is an existential threat to humanity, is ridiculous.
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Vinod KhoslaVenture capitalist; Khosla Ventures foundervotes Against and says:
The future utopia is ours to invent; the dystopia is ours to choose. [Pessimists paint a future with widespread job loss, social manipulation, erosion of human agency and existential threats from AI — but] these fears are largely unfounded, myopic, a...
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Luciano FloridiPhilosopher of information; ethicistvotes Against and says:
I did not sign that letter for four reasons. First, it is useless, because it arrives late. [...] The second reason is that its foundations look more like what I consider science fiction: it relies on a generic description of artificial intelligence ...
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