Expert opinions on Future

And by the way, there's the existential threat that as AI becomes smarter than humans, it can [...] become independent and lead to catastrophic impacts.

So when people predict a high degree of existential risk from AGI, I don’t actually think “arguing back” on their chosen terms is the correct response. Radical agnosticism is the correct response, where all specific scenarios are pretty unlikely. Non...

These fears (or hopes) of a nascent superintelligence that will spontaneously arise if we just give enough computing power and training data to large language models are absurd on their face.

[...] And the whole world might have an interest in saying, hold on, wait -- let's not make artificial super intelligence until we can be sure that it can be controlled or done safely. [...] We can have all that while at the same time working togethe...

I come from the position of saying that moratoriums will not work. But we can work in co-operation with other nations that have already started regulating, such as South Korea and Australia, as well as work with our AI Security Institute in the Unite...

Alignment is not solved but it increasingly looks solvable [...] Since then a lot has happened: pretraining continued improving and RL became a much bigger deal.

If it takes over that's what will happen. [...] We don't know how to do that. We don't even know if it's possible.

AI alignment is not something that works in theory but is difficult to put into practice. It's something that doesn't work in theory.

There is no upper limit on how intelligent AIs will get or on how good robots will get, and I believe the advances will not plateau before exceeding human levels. [...] AI capabilities will allow us to make far more goods and services with less labor...

The concept of superintelligence is built on a flawed premise. The idea is that once you have an intelligence that is as good or better than humans — in other words, AGI — then that intelligence can improve itself, leading to a runaway effect. This i...