Ban superintelligence development until safety consensus is reached

existential-risk ai-ethics future agi ai-safety ai-policy ai-regulation policy ai-governance

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Arguments for

Control problem unresolved

Supporters argue that humanity still lacks a proven way to keep smarter-than-human systems safe, controllable, and aligned with human well-being. Because misalignment and malicious use remain unresolved, developing superintelligence now is described as courting catastrophic or existential harm.

These are the facts: 1. The AI industry has the explicit goal of building things smarter than humans. 2. On many metrics (but nowhere close to all metrics), LLMs are already smarter than humans. 3. None of us yet know how to make sure these things stay under human control and/or…

Elizabeth Edwards-Appell · Jul 2026 · full quote
Superhuman AI is likely to arrive very soon (within 3-10 years). Technical controls and governance might allow humans to remain in control of it, but they're not on track to be ready. Think of it as playing chess against a superintelligence. You won't have a miraculous insight th…

Michael Tontchev · Jul 2026 · full quote
Frontier AI systems could surpass most individuals across most cognitive tasks within just a few years. These advances could unlock solutions to major global challenges, but they also carry significant risks. To safely advance toward superintelligence, we must scientifically dete…

Yoshua Bengio · Mar 27, 2026 · full quote
Until some company or scientist says ‘Here’s the proof! We can definitely have a safety mechanism that can scale to any level of intelligence,’ I don’t think we should be developing those general superintelligences. We can get most of the benefits we want from narrow AI, systems…

Roman V. Yampolskiy · 2024 · full quote
If anyone, anywhere builds a superhuman artificial intelligence using present methods, the most likely outcome is catastrophe.

Joe Rogero · May 12, 2026 · full quote

Time to prepare

A ban or slowdown is defended as a way to buy time for alignment research, governance, and social institutions to catch up. Proponents say the current pace compresses margins for error and leaves democracy, labor markets, and society more broadly unprepared for rapid change.

If you delay the advent of superintelligence, then that gives society more time to prepare and more time to solve the various problems that it represents.

Daniel Kokotajlo · Jul 9, 2026 · full quote
We believe it would be good for the world to have the option to slow or temporarily pause frontier AI development to enable societal structures and alignment research to keep up with the advance of the technology.

Anthropic Institute · Jun 4, 2026 · full quote
The pace of frontier AI development is currently outstripping our ability to ensure its safety, governance, and alignment with human values. We are racing to build systems with unprecedented capability without first building the guardrails, evaluation frameworks, or scientific un…

Andrew Locke · Jul 2026 · full quote
There are a lot of potentially good outcomes from AI. I think the most likely outcomes are good. But the risk of bad and even catastrophic outcomes is high enough to be worth taking seriously. We should actively build safety mechanisms in case we need them to prevent the worst po…

Nate Kratzer · Jul 2026 · full quote
We need to slow down the development of AI to give democracy, to give ordinary people, a chance to catch up.

Bernie Sanders · Mar 24, 2026 · full quote
As Melvin Kranzberg wrote, technology is neither good nor bad; nor is it neutral. Achieving societal benefit depends on understanding the interdependent ways in which many humans use advanced AI systems in concert, understanding that takes time to acquire. Pacing progress towar…

Edward Hughes · Jul 2026 · full quote

Global coordination needed

Supporters repeatedly say no lab or country can safely slow down alone because competitive pressure drives everyone forward. They therefore call for international agreements and shared mechanisms that can prevent a dangerous race and make restraint credible across major powers.

We recommend an international deal between all major world powers to avoid a dangerous race to superintelligence.

AI Futures Project · Jul 9, 2026 · full quote
The world is locked in a deadly race towards an intelligence explosion, where AI’s ability to create better AIs reaches a critical point, just like a runaway nuclear chain reaction. Going slower would give us much-needed time to make it go well, but no individual actor is willing…

Leo Gao · Jul 2026 · full quote
Future AI will be extraordinarily powerful compared to anything that exists today, and dealing with this future power will require unprecedented measures, such as the ones described here. The problem statement is real. This works only if it is done internationally, and it has to …

Ilya Sutskever · Jul 2026 · full quote
We can't do this unless everyone does. It needs to be global. Right now we have no way to do that. We need to build a way for us to all slow down.

Saul Reynolds-Haertle · Jul 2026 · full quote
Once this becomes common knowledge - once all of us in China & the US and at the various labs see that all the rest of us also think we need to slow this down - that's when coordination becomes possible.

Jeff Klingner · Jul 2026 · full quote
For us to experience all the benefits of AI while preserving human empowerment and reducing the risk in fields like cybersecurity and CBRN, we need coordination between frontier labs in and outside the country. The democratically elected US government would have a crucial role t…

Praneet Rathi · Jul 2026 · full quote

Useful AI without superintelligence

Many supporters say society can still pursue major benefits from AI tools without aiming for autonomous superintelligence. On this view, useful systems for practical problems are compatible with drawing a hard line against a frontier seen as unnecessary, hard to control, and offering little upside relative to its risk.

Superintelligence would likely break the very operating system of human civilization – and is completely unnecessary. If we instead focus on building controllable AI tools to help real people today, we can far more reliably and safely realize AI’s incredible benefits.

Yuval Noah Harari · Mar 27, 2026 · full quote
To get the most from what AI has to offer mankind, there is simply no need to reach for the unknowable and highly risky goal of superintelligence, which is by far a frontier too far. By definition this would result in a power that we could neither understand nor control.

Stephen Fry · Mar 27, 2026 · full quote
We don't have to do this. We have human-competitive AI, and there's no need to build AI with which we can't compete. We can build amazing AI tools without building a successor species. The notion that AGI and superintelligence are inevitable is a choice masquerading as fate. By …

Anthony Aguirre · 2025 · full quote
We should rapidly develop powerful AI tools that help cure diseases and solve practical problems, but not autonomous smarter-than-human machines that nobody knows how to control. Creating superintelligent machines is not only unacceptably dangerous and immoral, but also completel…

Johnnie Moore · 2025 · full quote
I believe we should draw a line in the sand and have a clear ban on the development of superintelligence, because that's very dangerous AI that puts all of us under threat for very little upside.

Andrea Miotti · Jan 26, 2026 · full quote

Arguments against

Enforcement is unrealistic

Opponents argue that a global ban or moratorium is not realistically enforceable. They say stopping superintelligence would require levels of compliance or surveillance that are unlikely to exist, so a ban risks being more aspirational than workable.

My own view, after talking with colleagues in the AI Security Institute and the Alan Turing Institute, is that a moratorium would be unenforceable.

Lord Tarassenko · Jan 29, 2026 · full quote
The conclusion is sobering: a global stop to the development of superintelligent AI seems impossible.

Job van den Berg · Feb 1, 2026 · full quote
But the governance of the most powerful systems, as well as decisions regarding their deployment, must have strong public oversight. We believe people around the world should democratically decide on the bounds and defaults for AI systems. Second, we believe it would be unintuit…

Sam Altman · 2023 · full quote
[...] the idea of stopping or even substantially slowing [...] is fundamentally untenable. If one company does not build it [...] authoritarian countries would simply keep going.

Dario Amodei · Jan 2026 · full quote

Pause cedes advantage

Another line of argument is that slowing or banning development would hand an advantage to rivals or hostile actors who keep going. On this view, restraint could betray national interests, weaken sovereignty, and leave compliant countries strategically exposed.

One example—potentially the most meaningful threshold articulated thus far—would be AI systems that outperform humans in making new breakthroughs in AI and developing increasingly more powerful AI systems. AI systems with such research and development capabilities would potential…

Jim Banks · May 14, 2026 · full quote
We’ve already heard calls, including in Parliament, to ‘Pause AI’. I think doing so would be a double betrayal. A betrayal of British talent and British interests.

Liz Kendall · Apr 28, 2026 · full quote
For me, a one-sided moratorium which ties our hands behind our backs while the likes of North Korea and the al-Qaedas of the world crack on: no, I am afraid that that worries me even more.

Lord Markham · Jan 29, 2026 · full quote
This government believes AI sovereignty is not about isolationism or attempting to pull up the drawbridge and go it alone.

Liz Kendall · Apr 28, 2026 · full quote
[...] the idea of stopping or even substantially slowing [...] is fundamentally untenable. If one company does not build it [...] authoritarian countries would simply keep going.

Dario Amodei · Jan 2026 · full quote

Govern use, continue research

Several critics favor regulation, safety cases, and cooperation while allowing innovation to continue, rather than suppressing research and development itself. They argue the better approach is to govern deployment or use, monitor harms, and improve safety in parallel with ongoing progress.

I come from the position of saying that moratoriums will not work. But we can work in co-operation with other nations that have already started regulating, such as South Korea and Australia, as well as work with our AI Security Institute in the United Kingdom, to establish our ow…

Narendra Patel · 2026 · full quote
My opinion is that the moratorium that we should focus on is actually deployment until we have good safety cases. I don't know that we need to pause that particular project, but I do think it's emphasis on focusing more on AI safety, on trustworthy, reliable AI is exactly right. …

Gary Marcus · May 16, 2023 · full quote
What is needed is not to slow innovation but to harness it — to channel AI’s momentum toward outcomes that reinforce trust, safety and societal well-being.

Takayuki Morita · Jan 21, 2026 · full quote
This is a formula for outright stagnation. [...] But rather than trying to anticipate every risk, regulators should let entrepreneurship flourish while efforts to monitor and improve AI safety proceed in parallel.

The Editorial Board · Apr 5, 2023 · full quote
The question that people are debating is whether it makes sense to regulate research and development of AI. And I don't think it does.

Yann LeCun · 2023 · full quote

Advancement remains necessary

Some opponents argue that further advancement remains worth pursuing despite serious risk, and that broad suppression would amount to stagnation or needless abandonment of a transformative technology. In this view, stopping training or suppressing inquiry would not actually help people who could benefit from more capable systems.

Developing superintelligence is not like playing Russian roulette; it is more like undergoing risky surgery for a condition that will otherwise prove fatal. [...] Models incorporating safety progress, temporal discounting, quality-of-life differentials, and concave QALY utilities…

Nick Bostrom · 2026 · full quote
I hope that, when the Minister responds, she will confirm that the Government have no plan to suppress the development of ASI. Inquiry and discovery are deeply ingrained in the human psyche and the AI revolution we are living through should certainly not be suppressed.

Lord Stevenson of Balmacara · Jan 29, 2026 · full quote
We felt that it wouldn't actually help anyone for us to stop training AI models.

Jared Kaplan · Feb 24, 2026 · full quote
We are on our way to personal superintelligence: an assistant that can help anyone, anywhere with the things that matter most to them.

Meta · Apr 8, 2026 · full quote

Middle ground

Threshold-based pacing

Some voices support having tools to slow, pause, or withhold launch at specific capability thresholds, especially where mitigations are missing or automated AI research could outrun human understanding. They frame the issue less as a blanket permanent ban on all AI work and more as safety-gated pacing based on evidence.

If... we were to find that we were reaching a critical capability level and we didn't have the appropriate mitigations, then we would not be launching.

Helen King · Jul 16, 2026 · full quote
I don't know what form such tools should take, nor whether automated AI R&D is the right or only thing that the U.S. government should develop increased capacity to understand and possibly pace, but this is worth serious consideration; however I hope such governance tools will no…

Joshua Achiam · Jul 2026 · full quote
We believe it would be good for the world to have the option to slow or temporarily pause frontier AI development to enable societal structures and alignment research to keep up with the advance of the technology.

Anthropic Institute · Jun 4, 2026 · full quote
As someone who works on recursive self-improvement and automated evaluation, I sign this because the diagnosis is right and the ask is refreshingly humble: pace, not pause. The phrase that matters is "automating AI research": that's the point where systems start improving themsel…

Leo He · Jul 2026 · full quote
This is not a ban or even a moratorium in the usual sense. It’s simply a proposal to require adequate safety measures for a technology that, according to its developers, has a significant chance to cause human extinction. Is that too much to ask?

Stuart J. Russell · Mar 27, 2026 · full quote

Design the brakes carefully

A smaller set of quotes says any slowdown mechanism must itself be designed carefully. These voices warn that poorly planned pacing could do more harm than good, concentrate power, or become a regulatory moat, so coordination tools should be researched before a crisis forces them into existence.

I believe that attempting to deliberately pace AI development will be extremely difficult, and could do more harm than good if done without proper care. However, I am signing this statement because, if an attempt at pacing does occur, it would be better for it to have been method…

Danny Sawyer · Jul 2026 · full quote
Many proposals for a slowdown or pause concentrate power — they centralize control of AI into a few hands and leave us worse off. I think we can do better. I’m signing because I believe we may need mechanisms to coordinate AI progress in the future, and inventing it in a crisis i…

Luke Drago · Jul 2026 · full quote
Supportive of this, but we should be careful not to use RSI narratives to create a regulatory moat. These risks need to be properly quantified, more openly, not derived from big labs narratives only!

Elie Bakouch · Jul 2026 · full quote
Future AI will be extraordinarily powerful compared to anything that exists today, and dealing with this future power will require unprecedented measures, such as the ones described here. The problem statement is real. This works only if it is done internationally, and it has to …

Ilya Sutskever · Jul 2026 · full quote

Insights

Both supporters and opponents frequently describe AI as potentially transformative and beneficial; they diverge on whether those benefits require continuing toward superintelligence.
A central fault line is feasibility: supporters call for international treaties or coordinated limits, while opponents say a global stop would be impossible or unenforceable.
Several supportive quotes focus especially on automated AI research or recursive self-improvement as the capability threshold where pacing becomes urgent.
The sample includes multiple researchers and employees at frontier labs endorsing pacing or coordination, while several government officials and company leaders argue against an outright ban.
Some positions blur the binary by favoring temporary pauses, deployment limits, launch withholding, or narrowly tailored pacing tools rather than an unlimited halt on all AI work.

The debate centers on how to govern a technology that many quotes describe as both highly beneficial and potentially dangerous. Supporters say unresolved control problems and race dynamics justify an international prohibition or at least a credible ability to pause until safety and public legitimacy are established. Opponents reply that a ban would be impractical, easy to defect from, and potentially damaging to innovation or national interests, favoring other forms of oversight instead.

Cast your vote:

Results (166 votes):

Total (166 votes)

For 137 (83%) Abstain 2 (1%) Against 27 (16%)

For (134)

Luciana Berger

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votes For and says:

The UK must lead an international agreement to prohibit the development of superintelligence until it can be proven safe. If we fail, every other ambition for our country risks being swept aside. The clock is ticking.
AI Verified source (Jul 23, 2026)

added 2d ago

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Helen King
Vice President of Responsibility at Google DeepMind.

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votes For and says:

If... we were to find that we were reaching a critical capability level and we didn't have the appropriate mitigations, then we would not be launching.
AI Verified source (Jul 16, 2026)

added 26d ago

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AI Futures Project
Nonprofit AI forecasting research group behind AI 2027 and Plan A; led by Daniel Kokotajlo.

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votes For and says:

We recommend an international deal between all major world powers to avoid a dangerous race to superintelligence.
AI Verified source (Jul 9, 2026)

added 24d ago

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Daniel Kokotajlo
AI Futures Project founder

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votes For and says:

If you delay the advent of superintelligence, then that gives society more time to prepare and more time to solve the various problems that it represents.
AI Verified source (Jul 9, 2026)

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Alex Sobel
Labour and Co-operative MP for Leeds Central and Headingley; proposer of the 2026 "kill switch" amendment (NC12) to the UK Cyber Security and Resilience Bill

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votes For and says:

That leave be given to bring in a Bill to make provision to prohibit the development, deployment and operation of artificial superintelligence systems; to establish monitoring and control powers in respect of such systems; and for connected purposes.
AI Verified source (Jul 8, 2026)

added 21d ago

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Thomas Holland
Policy analyst at the Nakada Foundation to Save Humanity, writing on AI governance and superintelligence risk.

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votes For and says:

The Nakada Foundation is building the political case for a binding international agreement to halt the race to superintelligence before it is built.
AI Verified source (Jul 5, 2026)

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Mike Lambert
Member of Technical Staff at Anthropic; signatory to the July 2026 Pacing the Frontier statement.

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votes For and says:

There are a wide diversity of opinions on where AI progress goes next and what the future looks like, but regardless of one's beliefs, the option to control the pace of progress if we end up in one of the bad scenarios seems like an incredibly valuab...
more AI Verified source (Jul 2026)

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Alex Cloud
Member of Technical Staff at Anthropic; signatory to the July 2026 Pacing the Frontier statement.

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votes For and says:

A year ago, I wrote my own code and used Claude to propose additions and find answers to my questions. Now, I don’t write code. I give high-level instructions to Claude and it runs experiments to test ideas for me at a pace I never could have achieve...
more AI Verified source (Jul 2026)

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Andrew Stewart
Manager at Anthropic; signatory to the July 2026 Pacing the Frontier statement.

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votes For and says:

Things are not only moving fast but accelerating and our future is getting shaped by a race that currently has no limits.
AI Verified source (Jul 2026)

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Sam Kennedy
Member of Technical Staff at Anthropic; commenter on the July 2026 Pacing the Frontier statement.

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votes For and says:

Let's work together to build this technology safely and responsibly!
AI Verified source (Jul 2026)

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Nicholas Clegg
Senior Software Engineer at Amazon; commenter on the July 2026 Pacing the Frontier statement.

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votes For and says:

AI is such a powerful and useful tool, but we have been seeing the negative impacts that it is having across society. It is critical and urgent that we take take intentional and thoughtful steps forward, keeping in mind what is best for all, as we fu...
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Thomas Neil James Shadwell
Member of Technical Staff in Security at OpenAI; AI security professional.

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votes For and says:

We must all seriously consider the lead-time required for defenders to be ready for the frontier.
AI Verified source (Jul 2026)

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Bryant McCombs
GTM professional at OpenAI; commenter on the July 2026 Pacing the Frontier statement.

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votes For and says:

We’ve reached a point in the maturity of this technology where increasingly thoughtful rollouts must become a prerequisite. While I remain incredibly optimistic about the benefits AI has delivered, and will undoubtedly continue to provide, I believe ...
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Angel Brodin
OpenAI employee and signatory to the July 2026 Pacing the Frontier statement.

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votes For and says:

AI will reshape humanity, but its direction is not set in stone; it is ours to shape with the care and conviction that humanity’s future deserves.
AI Verified source (Jul 2026)

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Ravin Kumar
Senior Researcher at Google; commenter on the July 2026 Pacing the Frontier statement.

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votes For and says:

I believe this is a technology that can, and already has, shaped humanity as a whole. Because of that a joint international effort is the only possible way.
AI Verified source (Jul 2026)

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Alejandro Xoconostle
Network Engineer at Meta; commenter on the July 2026 Pacing the Frontier statement.

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votes For and says:

A transformative shift is coming. Regardless of whether we feel optimistic or pessimistic about it, our responsibility is to take every potential outcome seriously through collective monitoring and shared guidance
AI Verified source (Jul 2026)

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Elie Bakouch
AI researcher at Prime Intellect; commenter on the July 2026 Pacing the Frontier statement.

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votes For and says:

Supportive of this, but we should be careful not to use RSI narratives to create a regulatory moat. These risks need to be properly quantified, more openly, not derived from big labs narratives only!
AI Verified source (Jul 2026)

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Edward Hughes
Chief Scientist at Inherent; AI researcher.

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votes For and says:

As Melvin Kranzberg wrote, technology is neither good nor bad; nor is it neutral. Achieving societal benefit depends on understanding the interdependent ways in which many humans use advanced AI systems in concert, understanding that takes time to ac...
more AI Verified source (Jul 2026)

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Christian Ryan
Member of Technical Staff at Anthropic; signatory to the July 2026 Pacing the Frontier statement.

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votes For and says:

As a foreign national, I see a US-supported effort as existential, not only for the liberties of the free world but for the prosperity of all.
AI Verified source (Jul 2026)

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Klaudia Krawiecka
Security Engineer, Frontier Risk Evals, at Meta.

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votes For and says:

AI's potential to improve the world is real, but only if we build the security and oversight mechanisms that keep pace with its capabilities. I signed because I believe we owe future generations a technology that was deployed with intention, not just...
more AI Verified source (Jul 2026)

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Darshan Kalola
Applied AI Engineer at Anthropic; commenter on the July 2026 Pacing the Frontier statement.

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votes For and says:

There is intense commercial pressure to win the AI race. Ensuring safety often requires making tradeoffs that hurt commercial interests. Therefore, I think its a good idea for better coordination between labs so we can build this technology safely, a...
more AI Verified source (Jul 2026)

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Neel Redkar
Standard Intelligence employee; commenter on the July 2026 Pacing the Frontier statement.

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votes For and says:

Internal deployment is especially important to regulate because misalignment, an unsolved technical problem of a model failing to follow the full breadth of human instruction, poses a major risk. Misuse of AI capabilities in chemistry, biology, and m...
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Yash Vanjani
Senior Research Engineer for Pretraining Infrastructure at Meta; commenter on the July 2026 Pacing the Frontier statement.

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votes For and says:

AI has become so good that it has got quite easy to do LLM research and go from a research idea to training a model in 2-3 weeks compared to what would have taken 6 months without AI. Every 3months there is a new model which is much better than bef...
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Elizabeth Edwards-Appell
Member of Operations Staff, Manager at Anthropic; commenter on the July 2026 Pacing the Frontier statement.

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votes For and says:

These are the facts: 1. The AI industry has the explicit goal of building things smarter than humans. 2. On many metrics (but nowhere close to all metrics), LLMs are already smarter than humans. 3. None of us yet know how to make sure these things s...
more AI Verified source (Jul 2026)

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Praneet Rathi
Anthropic employee; commenter on the July 2026 Pacing the Frontier statement.

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votes For and says:

For us to experience all the benefits of AI while preserving human empowerment and reducing the risk in fields like cybersecurity and CBRN, we need coordination between frontier labs in and outside the country. The democratically elected US governme...
more AI Verified source (Jul 2026)

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Prakash Murugesan
Research Engineer at Meta; commenter on the July 2026 Pacing the Frontier statement.

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votes For and says:

It's clear that the risks of RSI are no longer a concern for the distant future. They are here now. The guardrails necessary for safety cannot be entrusted to any single private entity but should be decided by a consortium of learned scientists, engi...
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Jeremy Hadfield
Member of Technical Staff at Anthropic.

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votes For and says:

While I don't believe the pace of current AI capabilities development is *yet* dangerous, it's important to have the option to slow down in case we need it. Further, accelerating AI R&D over the next couple years could make the pace of progress dange...
more AI Verified source (Jul 2026)

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Jeff Klingner
Senior Software Engineer at Google; commenter on the July 2026 Pacing the Frontier statement.

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votes For and says:

Once this becomes common knowledge - once all of us in China & the US and at the various labs see that all the rest of us also think we need to slow this down - that's when coordination becomes possible.
AI Verified source (Jul 2026)

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Joshua Achiam
AI researcher at OpenAI.

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votes For and says:

I don't know what form such tools should take, nor whether automated AI R&D is the right or only thing that the U.S. government should develop increased capacity to understand and possibly pace, but this is worth serious consideration; however I hope...
more AI Verified source (Jul 2026)

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Dawn Song
Co-author; AI researcher

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votes For and says:

Frontier AI capabilities are advancing rapidly, and the pace of progress is itself accelerating. We see this directly in our evaluation work. CyberGym and ExploitGym show that frontier AI agents are now capable of discovering and exploiting real-wor...
more AI Verified source (Jul 2026)

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