Expert opinions on Covid 19 Origins

It always seemed entirely plausible to me that Covid escaped from a laboratory, but that doesn’t mean that it was deliberate or the result of nefarious activity.

To be very clear, we're not pointing one way or the other in this particular conversation.

Coronavirus, probably not from a lab but let's not rule it out.

Based on the current available evidence, I believe the most plausible origin of SARS-CoV-2 is spillover from a bat to an intermediate animal, and then to a human. I further believe the available evidence indicates that this spillover happened natural...

All he is saying in this Science article is that we need better, more comprehensive patient case and dated viral sequence data – at the time of first appearance of these viruses – to make this viral phylogenetic/evolutionary history approach more acc...

The data from the paper support the notion that Huanan market may have been just an amplifier of COVID-19 transmission, rather than the place where COVID-19 originated.

Bayesian reasoning serves as a bridge between quantitative and qualitative research that allows one to analyze any and all kinds of data within a single, unified inferential framework. This paper demonstrates the strength and flexibility of the Bayes...

The arguments around covid origins seem largely to fall into an inference trap Andrew has termed premature collapse of the wavefunction. Rather than maintaining multiple hypotheses with different levels of credibility, there seems to be a desire to c...

Determining the origin of an outbreak or pandemic can be divided into four stages: detection, identification, characterization, and attribution. Understanding how a specific pathogen entered and spread in a population to cause an outbreak is a multid...