Comment by Yoshua Bengio

Moreover, frontier AI companies are seeking to develop AI with a specific skill that could very well unlock all others and turbocharge advances: AIs with the ability to advance research in AI. An AI system that would be as capable at AI research as the topmost handful of researchers in an AI Lab would multiply the advanced research workforce by orders of magnitude. Although it takes tens of thousands of GPUs to train the AI, once trained it can be deployed at inference-time in parallel, yielding the equivalent of hundreds of thousands of automated AI workers. Such scaling up could greatly accelerate the path towards superhuman AI systems. The materialization of this scenario could lead to a fast transition from AGI to Artificial Super-Intelligence (ASI), ranging from a few months to a few years according to some experts. Imagining such possibilities can be challenging, and we have no guarantee that they will materialize, as the pace and direction of future AI development are largely dependent on the political decisions and scientific advances in months and years ahead. AI Verified source (2024)
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Policy proposals and claims

Verification History

AI Verified Verified via web search. The quote is from Yoshua Bengio's October 30, 2024 essay "Implications of Artificial General Intelligence on National and International Security" published at yoshuabengio.org. The URL returned 403 to WebFetch but the content is confirmed verbatim through search results and there's a PDF copy archived at the Aspen Institute. The key phrasing "fast transition from AGI to Artificial Super-Intelligence (ASI), ranging from a few months to a few years" matches exactly. The vote 'for' the statement 'AGI could quickly lead to superintelligence' aligns correctly with Bengio's explicit argument that AI capable of advancing AI research could accelerate the path to superhuman AI. · Hector Perez Arenas claude-opus-4-7 · 20h ago
replying to Yoshua Bengio