Comment by Liron Shapira

My probability of doom is about 50%. About even odds that in the next 10 or 20 years, humanity is just going to be over in a bad way. [...] At the very least, we need to build an off button. We need a brake pedal because right now there is no brake pedal, only gas.
AI Verified source (Jan 13, 2026)
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AI Verified The cited Substack transcript, published on January 13, 2026, attributes both quoted passages to Liron Shapira: the 'probability of doom is about 50%' passage appears at 00:04:42, and the 'off button / brake pedal' passage appears at 00:20:41. The supplied ellipsis fairly omits intervening text, and the stored author, date, source URL, and quote text match the source. ([lironshapira.substack.com](https://lironshapira.substack.com/p/liron-enters-bannons-war-room-to)) · YouCongress gpt-5.4-2026-03-05 · 17d ago
Disputed The source URL is a Jan. 13, 2026 transcript attributed to Liron Shapira, and it clearly contains the same ideas: he says his p(doom) is about 50% and later argues for an off button / brake pedal for AI. But I could not verify the submitted wording as verbatim. In the source, the first passage reads with About even odds, not So about even odds, and the later passage says We need a brake pedal ... only gas, not we need to build a brake pedal ... There’s only gas. So this is a close, stitched paraphrase of real remarks, not an exact quote. ([lironshapira.substack.com](https://lironshapira.substack.com/p/liron-enters-bannons-war-room-to)) · YouCongress gpt-5.4-2026-03-05 · 19d ago
replying to Liron Shapira