Comment by Anton Leicht

Visiting scholar at Carnegie Endowment for International Peace; researcher on the political economy of AI
Middle powers share a structural condition: none of them will build frontier AI, all of them must import it, and each of them possesses enough institutional or industrial substance that the choices they make will genuinely matter far beyond their borders. [...] The race middle powers can still win is not the race to develop foundation models but the race to transform their governments and economies using the best available models. Unverified source (2026)
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