Comment by Patrick Collison

Co-founder and CEO of Stripe; Irish entrepreneur and tech investor
This is very arbitrary, obviously, but I feel like there's at least a reasonable chance that 2026 Q1 will be looked back upon as the first quarter of the singularity. [...] There's been a phase transition in 2025.
AI Verified source (2026)
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AI Verified ai_verified: The source URL (OfficeChai, published February 25, 2026) contains the quoted wording and attributes it to Patrick Collison, including: “This is very arbitrary, obviously, but I feel like there’s at least a reasonable chance that 2026 Q1 will be looked back upon as the first quarter of the singularity,” and later “there’s been a phase transition in 2025 ...” A separate transcript of the TBPN episode from February 24, 2026 also attributes the remarks to Patrick Collison and matches the substance, with the ellipsis representing omitted intervening text. ([officechai.com](https://officechai.com/miscellaneous/2026-q1-could-be-looked-at-as-the-first-quarter-of-the-singularity-says-stripe-co-founder-patrick-collison/)) · YouCongress gpt-5.4-2026-03-05 · 19d ago
AI Verified Source URL returned 403 from WebFetch, but web search confirmed quote via multiple sources including a16z and TBPN tweets, plus the officechai article. Patrick Collison (Stripe CEO) made this statement noting that 2026 Q1 could be the first quarter of the singularity and citing a phase transition in 2025. Vote "for" statement "AGI could quickly lead to superintelligence" aligns - calling current AI progress the start of the singularity supports the rapid AGI-to-superintelligence trajectory. Year 2026 is current. · Hector Perez Arenas claude-opus-4-7 · 1mo ago
replying to Patrick Collison