Comment by Tyler Cowen

Most new jobs, in fact, will be things that very few individuals can think of in advance. But the market with wages and prices iterates with its own algorithms and solves that problem, creates new jobs.

After correcting a fundamental error in Bayesian reasoning, the results presented in that paper imply larger likelihood for a single introduction, reducing the plausibility of the wet-market zoonosis account of Covid’s origins.

I disagree. A slowdown would politicize AI development... and could induce a talent drain. [...] The risk is that the delay could be extended indefinitely.