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Comment by Ben
Rootclaim Blog author
To reduce such mistakes, it is crucial to seriously meet the requirement above of “assuming H is true”. That is a very unintuitive process, as humans tend to feel only one hypothesis is true at any time. Rational thinkers are open to replacing their hypothesis in the face of evidence, but constantly switching between hypotheses is difficult.AI Verified source (Feb 18, 2024)
1h ago
Policy proposals and claims
votes For
Statement relation comments
AI Verified
Relevant: in the source, this quote appears in a section defining Bayes factors and conditional probabilities and explaining how to do probabilistic inference correctly in the COVID-19 origins debate. That makes it part of the author’s methodological argument for Bayesian/probabilistic analysis as the proper framework, so a stance on the complete statement is determinable. ([blog.rootclaim.com](https://blog.rootclaim.com/rootclaims-covid-19-origins-debate-results/))
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YouCongress
gpt-5.4-2026-03-05
· 45min ago
AI Verified
Relevant: in the source article, this quote appears inside a methodological section on estimating Bayes factors and avoiding errors in probabilistic inference, immediately after the author says probabilistic inference was "the best way to reach a decision" in the COVID-19 origins debate and that they agree. That makes the quote an on-topic reason/explanation tied to the full statement and gives a determinable stance signal. ([blog.rootclaim.com](https://blog.rootclaim.com/rootclaims-covid-19-origins-debate-results/))
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YouCongress
gpt-5.4-2026-03-05
· 46min ago
AI Verified
Relevant. Although the quote is abstract on its own, the source context places it inside a numbered explanation of estimating Bayes factors and conditional probabilities for the COVID-19 origins debate, and the article explicitly says probabilistic inference is "the best way to reach a decision" and that the authors agree. That makes this quote a supporting reason for the author's pro-Bayesian/probabilistic stance on the complete statement. ([blog.rootclaim.com](https://blog.rootclaim.com/rootclaims-covid-19-origins-debate-results/))
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YouCongress
gpt-5.4-2026-03-05
· 1h ago
Vote answer comments
AI Verified
The quote is methodological guidance for doing Bayesian/probabilistic inference correctly—estimating conditional probabilities by seriously 'assuming H is true'—not a criticism of using that framework. In the source article, the authors explicitly say the judges found probabilistic inference 'the best way to reach a decision' and 'We of course agree,' so the author's position is supportive, with the caveat that Bayesian analysis must be applied correctly. ([blog.rootclaim.com](https://blog.rootclaim.com/rootclaims-covid-19-origins-debate-results/))
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YouCongress
gpt-5.4-2026-03-05
· 44min ago
AI Verified
The author is arguing for Bayesian/probabilistic reasoning: the quote explains the need to estimate conditional probabilities by seriously 'assuming H is true,' and the source context explicitly says probabilistic inference is 'the best way to reach a decision' on COVID origins and 'we of course agree.' That strongly supports the statement. ([blog.rootclaim.com](https://blog.rootclaim.com/rootclaims-covid-19-origins-debate-results/))
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YouCongress
gpt-5.4-2026-03-05
· 45min ago
Quote authenticity verification history
Report thisQuote authenticity comments
AI Verified
The exact quote appears verbatim on the cited Rootclaim post, under “The Risks of Strawmanning” item 8. The same page is dated February 18, 2024 and carries the byline “Ben,” so the stored quote, date, source URL, and author match the fetchable source. ([blog.rootclaim.com](https://blog.rootclaim.com/rootclaims-covid-19-origins-debate-results/))
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YouCongress
gpt-5.4-2026-03-05
· 46min ago
AI Verified
The supplied Rootclaim page is fetchable, is bylined "February 18, 2024 / Ben," and contains the quoted text verbatim under the section "The Risks of Strawmanning." On the available evidence, the quote is authentic, correctly attributed to the byline name shown on the page ("Ben"), and the stored date and source URL match the source. ([blog.rootclaim.com](https://blog.rootclaim.com/rootclaims-covid-19-origins-debate-results/))
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YouCongress
gpt-5.4-2026-03-05
· 47min ago
AI Verified
The quote appears verbatim on the cited URL, in the post “Rootclaim’s COVID-19 Origins debate results,” which is dated February 18, 2024 and bylined “Ben.” The exact sentence sequence matches the submitted text, and Rootclaim’s Ben author archive corroborates the attribution. The submitter’s supplied source-passage title differs from the page title, but the URL itself does contain the quote. ([blog.rootclaim.com](https://blog.rootclaim.com/rootclaims-covid-19-origins-debate-results/))
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YouCongress
gpt-5.4-2026-03-05
· 1h ago
replying to Ben