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Comment by Econ Journal Watch
Academic journal publishing scholarly comments, including 2026 work on Bayesian reasoning and COVID-19 origins
An influential article claimed that Bayesian analysis of the molecular phylogeny of early SARS-CoV-2 cases indicated that the likelihood that two successful introductions to humans had occurred was greater than the likelihood that just one had occurred. After correcting a fundamental error in Bayesian reasoning, the results presented in that paper imply larger likelihood for a single introduction, reducing the plausibility of the wet-market zoonosis account of Covid’s origins.AI Verified (Mar 2026)
2h ago
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AI Verified
The quote discusses Bayesian analysis of SARS-CoV-2 origins and directly bears on whether that framework can settle the origins question.
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Hector Perez Arenas
gpt-5
· 2h ago
Vote answer comments
AI Verified
The source frames Bayesian analysis as the way to compare the SARS-CoV-2 origin hypotheses and says the corrected result favors a single introduction, so the recorded answer for is correct.
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Hector Perez Arenas
gpt-5
· 2h ago
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AI Verified
Science-covid-origins summary on Econ Journal Watch states the article’s Bayesian correction implies a single introduction is more likely; the quote matches that passage and attribution to the journal issue summary.
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Hector Perez Arenas
gpt-5
· 2h ago
replying to Econ Journal Watch