AGI could make governments subordinate to the companies that develop it

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Key insights

The quotes describe two timelines: some say subordination is already emerging through present-day dependence on frontier providers, while others focus on a first-AGI or superintelligence scenario.
Several speakers treat the issue as international as well as domestic, emphasizing that frontier capability is concentrated in a few mainly foreign firms and that nations may end up operating by permission rather than by right.
Power is defined broadly across the quotes, extending beyond lobbying to control of compute, data centers, services, evaluations, narratives, and proprietary knowledge systems.
A recurring distinction is between formal sovereignty and practical authority: governments may keep their institutions even as real decision-making shifts to private, opaque systems.
Even among speakers warning of corporate dominance, some argue the outcome depends on guardrails, checks and balances, and whether states shape the technology rather than merely adapting to it.

Arguments for

Scale creates dependence

AGI development is described as requiring concentrated compute, capital, data centers, and other scarce inputs that are controlled by a small number of firms. Because countries depend on those providers for access and capability, governments can lose leverage and become reliant on companies whose permission can be withdrawn.

Frontier AI capability sits overwhelmingly in the hands of a few companies headquartered mainly in the United States and China. Every other nation participates by permission, not by right. That permission can be withdrawn arbitrarily in an instant.

Joanna Shields · Jul 23, 2026 · full quote
AI is driving power asymmetries between countries, governments, corporations, and individuals. Between countries, control over key parts of the AI value chain—frontier models, advanced chips and data centers—by a few companies creates dependency risks.

World Bank · Aug 4, 2026 · full quote
Currently, AI is a game of scale that is dominated by hegemons and hyperscalers. This poses a significant security and economic challenge as countries around the globe risk becoming subordinate or reliant on them.

Government of Canada · Jun 8, 2026 · full quote
That creates real risks that foreign entities could access Canadian data, deploy AI products that shape Canadian lives without reflecting our values, and tilt the playing field against Canadian firms — while Canada lacks the leverage to push back or the ability to control.

Mark Carney · Jun 4, 2026 · full quote
AI infrastructure owners command more wealth and capability than most governments.

Priyanshu Jain · Apr 4, 2026 · full quote
Control of this incredibly powerful technology is becoming increasingly concentrated, with 70 per cent of global AI compute now controlled by just 5 companies - up from around 60% a year ago. Faced with the power and speed at which this technology is developing we must ask oursel…

Liz Kendall · Apr 28, 2026 · full quote

Regulatory asymmetry and capture

Several quotes argue that governments are trying to govern AI while relying on information supplied by the same companies, and that corporate-led AI governance is already outpacing public oversight. In this view, concentrated private power, opacity, and political capture weaken democratic institutions' ability to regulate on their own terms.

Today, a small number of frontier technology companies control technical talent, computing resources, evaluation capabilities and the narratives around AI development. Governments and philanthropic funders make large-dollar bets based on information provided by the very actors th…

Katy Knight · Jul 7, 2026 · full quote
Corporate-led AI governance often surpasses state oversight, resulting in accountability deficits and regulatory fragmentation.

Artur Ishkhanyan · Apr 7, 2026 · full quote
Currently I just see elected legislatures quite captured by the tech industry and incapable or unwilling to regulate.

Hélène Landemore · 2026 · full quote
As a society, we can no longer sit back and allow a handful of Big Tech oligarchs to determine the future of this revolutionary technology with no democratic input.

Bernie Sanders · Jun 18, 2026 · full quote
As AI reorders economies and concentrates power in fewer and fewer hands, the question is no longer whether democracy needs saving, but whether we can save it in time.

Daron Acemoglu · 2026 · full quote
It is an oligarchy with better technology. [...] If the tech oligarchs continue in their mindset overall of downscaling government, that will impair the ability of government to facilitate the AI transition.

Joseph Stiglitz · 2026 · full quote

Essential-service control

When AI systems become indispensable and embedded in critical functions, company service terms, suspension rights, and proprietary algorithms can become real limits on governmental action. Choices about security, access to knowledge, and operational continuity are then made by corporate actors rather than democratic institutions.

Allowing a private company to reserve the right to suspend services based on its own reading of contractual language would hand corporate executives a degree of operational authority traditionally reserved for elected civilian leaders and military commanders.

Tsiporah Fried · Jul 17, 2026 · full quote
Because their products are indispensable, their de facto policies become real constraints on governmental action.

Eric J. Wesley · Apr 29, 2026 · full quote
Corporate power extends beyond lobbying, manifesting as infrastructural and platform power as governments and societies become increasingly dependent on these critical functions.

Carine Roos · Feb 12, 2026 · full quote
A handful of companies and their leaders now control the cognitive capabilities upon which governments, businesses, and citizens depend.

Tom Wheeler · Jul 1, 2026 · full quote
That is not a choice a for-profit corporation should be allowed to make in a democratic society. Nor should such a company be able to restrict the ability of society to make choices about its own security.

David Lie · 2026 · full quote
A democracy that defers its knowledge to private algorithms is one that risks becoming a spectator to its own governance. [...] If public knowledge is absorbed into proprietary systems that the public cannot inspect, audit or meaningfully challenge, then access to information is …

Bruce Schneier · 2026 · full quote

Quasi-state corporate authority

Multiple speakers argue that formal state institutions can remain in place while practical authority migrates into privately owned machine systems and platforms. Firms that control livelihoods, rules, speech, labor markets, or tax-relevant economic activity can start to resemble quasi-states, weakening democratic accountability and the legitimacy of government.

A republic can preserve its elections, courts, agencies, laws, offices, parties, and constitutional language while practical authority migrates into machine systems that are privately owned, technically opaque, foreign-exposed, operationally indispensable, and difficult to contes…

Robert Duran IV · Jun 27, 2026 · full quote
If firms own the AGI systems that automate most economic activity, they may provide stipends, dividends or services to users, effectively becoming private welfare institutions. Economic efficiency may improve, but democratic accountability would weaken. Citizenship would matter l…

S. Yash Kalash · May 21, 2026 · full quote
Do you have to listen to the people's political power if you don't get your tax revenue from the people anymore, you get it from AI companies? And if companies - you can't use your bargaining power. You can't, like, withdraw your labor like a labor union because the companies don…

Tristan Harris · Mar 30, 2026 · full quote
Sovereignty — understood as the authority to set rules, allocate resources, and shape collective futures — is migrating from public institutions to private actors. These 'silicon sovereigns' set rules, adjudicate disputes, police speech, shape labor markets and elections — functi…

Simon Chesterman · 2026 · full quote
We are witnessing perhaps the greatest transfer of power of our times — not from Governments to people, but from Governments to private technology companies. [...] When technologies that shape behaviour, elections, markets, and even conflicts operate without guardrails, the react…

António Guterres · 2026 · full quote
It is an oligarchy with better technology. [...] If the tech oligarchs continue in their mindset overall of downscaling government, that will impair the ability of government to facilitate the AI transition.

Joseph Stiglitz · 2026 · full quote

Superintelligence first-mover risk

Some quotes focus on a future in which the first company to build AGI or superintelligence gains a rapidly compounding capabilities advantage. In that scenario, a firm could control much of economic activity, develop tools to seize power, or become a de facto world government unless strong guardrails and a stable balance of power are established.

Whichever company develops AGI first would have a significant advantage that would then increase relative to the other companies. That company — or a small handful of companies — may control a majority of economic activity on the planet and governments would become subordinate to…

Stuart J. Russell · 2026 · full quote
Another possibility, if there's a large enough intelligence explosion, is that the first project to build AGI organically becomes a de facto world government. This possibility is worth taking pretty seriously, given the stakes and the fact that an intelligence explosion is fairly…

Will MacAskill · 2026 · full quote
If the frontier labs do achieve superintelligence, their capabilities will become extraordinary. They could launch cyberattacks, wield political influence, or fashion new and exotic weapons to seize power. U.S. policymakers need to ensure that there is a productive and predictabl…

Adam Segal · 2026 · full quote
But, if any nation or company builds a true superintelligence without guardrails, that sovereignty disappears everywhere.

Baroness Berger · Jul 23, 2026 · full quote
At various times in history (such as the Gilded Age in the United States or the East India Company in the UK), companies have become powerful enough that they capture the state or adopt quasi-state characteristics. AI will soon become so capable that I worry it cannot safely be f…

Dario Amodei · Jun 2026 · full quote
The governance of superintelligence has to represent the stakeholders of Earth— all people. AI companies cannot grade their own homework. They cannot be allowed to hold so much power that they eclipse democracy.

Holly Elmore · Mar 24, 2026 · full quote

Middle ground

Risk not inevitability

Some quotes frame subordination as a contingent outcome, not an automatic one. They distinguish leverage from control and argue that AI could either concentrate or broaden power depending on whether governments shape the technology with real guardrails, public oversight, and checks and balances.

Transformative technologies can concentrate power, or they can broaden it. They can make life easier for a few, or they can expand opportunity for many. Our approach is rooted in the belief that AI should work for people: helping them pursue their own goals, increasing their capa…

OpenAI · Jun 8, 2026 · full quote
This episode—and, potentially, the recent OpenAI episode mentioned by some of the noble Baronesses—shows that what we have built in this country is not technological independence but, in the AI Minister’s own phrase, a search for strategic leverage. However, leverage is not contr…

Lord Clement-Jones · Jul 23, 2026 · full quote
Control of this incredibly powerful technology is becoming increasingly concentrated, with 70 per cent of global AI compute now controlled by just 5 companies - up from around 60% a year ago. Faced with the power and speed at which this technology is developing we must ask oursel…

Liz Kendall · Apr 28, 2026 · full quote
At various times in history (such as the Gilded Age in the United States or the East India Company in the UK), companies have become powerful enough that they capture the state or adopt quasi-state characteristics. AI will soon become so capable that I worry it cannot safely be f…

Dario Amodei · Jun 2026 · full quote

In the material provided, the concern is framed mainly as a problem of concentration: control over compute, models, platforms, and operational decisions gives a small set of firms leverage that states may struggle to counter. Contributors differ mostly on mechanism and timeline, with some describing an already visible shift through dependence and regulatory weakness, and others warning that a first AGI developer could become quasi-sovereign or globally dominant. A narrower thread argues that this outcome remains contingent on guardrails, distributed benefits, and a workable balance of power between companies and public institutions.

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Results (36 votes):

Total (36 votes)

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For (35)

World Bank
International financial institution that publishes research and policy analysis on global development and the economic effects of artificial intelligence.

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votes For and says:

AI is driving power asymmetries between countries, governments, corporations, and individuals. Between countries, control over key parts of the AI value chain—frontier models, advanced chips and data centers—by a few companies creates dependency risk...
more AI Verified source (Aug 4, 2026)

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Baroness Berger
Labour member of the UK House of Lords; former Member of Parliament.

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votes For and says:

But, if any nation or company builds a true superintelligence without guardrails, that sovereignty disappears everywhere.
AI Verified source (Jul 23, 2026)

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Lord Clement-Jones
Tim Clement-Jones, Baron Clement-Jones CBE; Liberal Democrat peer; UK House of Lords AI policy expert

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votes For and says:

This episode—and, potentially, the recent OpenAI episode mentioned by some of the noble Baronesses—shows that what we have built in this country is not technological independence but, in the AI Minister’s own phrase, a search for strategic leverage. ...
more AI Verified source (Jul 23, 2026)

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Joanna Shields
Director of the Responsible AI Future Foundation and former UK minister for internet safety and security.

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votes For and says:

Frontier AI capability sits overwhelmingly in the hands of a few companies headquartered mainly in the United States and China. Every other nation participates by permission, not by right. That permission can be withdrawn arbitrarily in an instant.
AI Verified source (Jul 23, 2026)

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Tsiporah Fried
Visiting senior fellow at the Hudson Institute, writing on technology, sovereignty, and international security.

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votes For and says:

Allowing a private company to reserve the right to suspend services based on its own reading of contractual language would hand corporate executives a degree of operational authority traditionally reserved for elected civilian leaders and military co...
more AI Verified source (Jul 17, 2026)

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Sir John Hayes

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votes For and says:

We have allowed a handful of multinational corporates, which have displayed a carelessness to the effects of what they do, to wield immense power—more power than national Governments. It is increasingly difficult for Governments to pull levers that a...
more AI Verified source (Jul 8, 2026)

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Katy Knight
President and Chief Executive Officer of Siegel Family Endowment.

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votes For and says:

Today, a small number of frontier technology companies control technical talent, computing resources, evaluation capabilities and the narratives around AI development. Governments and philanthropic funders make large-dollar bets based on information ...
more AI Verified source (Jul 7, 2026)

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Mikheil Kavelashvili
President of Georgia

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Artificial intelligence is, by its very nature, a centralized technology. The creation of advanced models requires the mobilization of colossal financial resources, computational capacities, and large-scale data. This unprecedented concentration of p...
more AI Verified source (Jul 6, 2026)

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Tom Wheeler
Visiting Fellow at Brookings Institution; former Chairman of the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) 2013-2017; author and tech policy expert

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votes For and says:

A handful of companies and their leaders now control the cognitive capabilities upon which governments, businesses, and citizens depend.
AI Verified source (Jul 1, 2026)

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Robert Duran IV
Author of the 2026 AI-governance framework The Sovereign Intelligence Doctrine.

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A republic can preserve its elections, courts, agencies, laws, offices, parties, and constitutional language while practical authority migrates into machine systems that are privately owned, technically opaque, foreign-exposed, operationally indispen...
more AI Verified source (Jun 27, 2026)

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Bernie Sanders
U.S. Senator from Vermont

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As a society, we can no longer sit back and allow a handful of Big Tech oligarchs to determine the future of this revolutionary technology with no democratic input.
AI Verified source (Jun 18, 2026)

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Zexun Wang

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The first, frontier-provider sovereignty, assigns privileged authority to the provider of the most capable models and is reflected in contemporary arguments for frontier-model testing, release gating, transparency duties, and compute-related controls...
more AI Verified source (Jun 12, 2026)

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Government of Canada
Federal government of Canada

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Currently, AI is a game of scale that is dominated by hegemons and hyperscalers. This poses a significant security and economic challenge as countries around the globe risk becoming subordinate or reliant on them.
AI Verified source (Jun 8, 2026)

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OpenAI
AI research organization

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votes For and says:

Transformative technologies can concentrate power, or they can broaden it. They can make life easier for a few, or they can expand opportunity for many. Our approach is rooted in the belief that AI should work for people: helping them pursue their ow...
more AI Verified source (Jun 8, 2026)

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Mark Carney
Prime Minister of Canada; former Governor of the Bank of England and Bank of Canada

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votes For and says:

That creates real risks that foreign entities could access Canadian data, deploy AI products that shape Canadian lives without reflecting our values, and tilt the playing field against Canadian firms — while Canada lacks the leverage to push back or ...
more AI Verified source (Jun 4, 2026)

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Dario Amodei
CEO at Anthropic

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votes For and says:

At various times in history (such as the Gilded Age in the United States or the East India Company in the UK), companies have become powerful enough that they capture the state or adopt quasi-state characteristics. AI will soon become so capable that...
more AI Verified source (Jun 2026)

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S. Yash Kalash
Senior fellow at the Centre for International Governance Innovation; expert in strategy, public policy, digital technology and financial services.

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votes For and says:

If firms own the AGI systems that automate most economic activity, they may provide stipends, dividends or services to users, effectively becoming private welfare institutions. Economic efficiency may improve, but democratic accountability would weak...
more AI Verified source (May 21, 2026)

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Eric J. Wesley

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Because their products are indispensable, their de facto policies become real constraints on governmental action.
AI Verified source (Apr 29, 2026)

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Liz Kendall
UK Secretary of State for Science, Innovation and Technology; Labour MP for Leicester West

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Control of this incredibly powerful technology is becoming increasingly concentrated, with 70 per cent of global AI compute now controlled by just 5 companies - up from around 60% a year ago. Faced with the power and speed at which this technology is...
more AI Verified source (Apr 28, 2026)

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Artur Ishkhanyan
Researcher at the National Academy of Sciences of Armenia studying artificial intelligence governance, corporate power, and state sovereignty.

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votes For and says:

Corporate-led AI governance often surpasses state oversight, resulting in accountability deficits and regulatory fragmentation.
AI Verified source (Apr 7, 2026)

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Priyanshu Jain
Researcher on artificial intelligence, geopolitics, and economic concentration.

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AI infrastructure owners command more wealth and capability than most governments.
AI Verified source (Apr 4, 2026)

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Tristan Harris
Center for Humane Technology cofounder

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votes For and says:

Do you have to listen to the people's political power if you don't get your tax revenue from the people anymore, you get it from AI companies? And if companies - you can't use your bargaining power. You can't, like, withdraw your labor like a labor u...
more AI Verified source (Mar 30, 2026)

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Holly Elmore
Founder and Executive Director of PauseAI US; evolutionary biologist and AI moratorium advocate

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votes For and says:

The governance of superintelligence has to represent the stakeholders of Earth— all people. AI companies cannot grade their own homework. They cannot be allowed to hold so much power that they eclipse democracy.
AI Verified source (Mar 24, 2026)

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Carine Roos

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votes For and says:

Corporate power extends beyond lobbying, manifesting as infrastructural and platform power as governments and societies become increasingly dependent on these critical functions.
AI Verified source (Feb 12, 2026)

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Adam Segal
Ira A. Lipman chair in emerging technologies and national security and director of the Digital and Cyberspace Policy program at the Council on Foreign Relations

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votes For and says:

If the frontier labs do achieve superintelligence, their capabilities will become extraordinary. They could launch cyberattacks, wield political influence, or fashion new and exotic weapons to seize power. U.S. policymakers need to ensure that there ...
more AI Verified source (2026)

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Hélène Landemore
Yale political science professor

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votes For and says:

Currently I just see elected legislatures quite captured by the tech industry and incapable or unwilling to regulate.
Unverifiable source (2026)

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Joseph Stiglitz
Nobel laureate economist based at Columbia University

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votes For and says:

It is an oligarchy with better technology. [...] If the tech oligarchs continue in their mindset overall of downscaling government, that will impair the ability of government to facilitate the AI transition.
Disputed source (2026)

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David Lie
Director of the Schwartz Reisman Institute for Technology and Society at the University of Toronto; Professor of Electrical and Computer Engineering; Canada Research Chair in Secure and Reliable Systems

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votes For and says:

That is not a choice a for-profit corporation should be allowed to make in a democratic society. Nor should such a company be able to restrict the ability of society to make choices about its own security.
Disputed source (2026)

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Karen Hao
Technology journalist and author

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[These companies are] consolidating a historic amount of economic and political power, terraforming our earth, reshaping our geopolitics.
Unverifiable source (2026)

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Will MacAskill
Philosopher; effective altruism cofounder; researcher at Forethought Centre for AI Strategy

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votes For and says:

Another possibility, if there's a large enough intelligence explosion, is that the first project to build AGI organically becomes a de facto world government. This possibility is worth taking pretty seriously, given the stakes and the fact that an in...
more Disputed source (2026)

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