Eliezer Yudkowsky

Make immediate multinational agreements to prevent the prohibited activities from moving elsewhere. [...] preventing AI extinction scenarios is considered a priority above preventing a [...] nuclear exchange

Many researchers steeped in these issues, including myself, expect that the most likely result of building a superhumanly smart AI, under anything remotely like the current circumstances, is that literally everyone on Earth will die. Not as in “maybe...

Waterfalls are one way of visualizing the odds form of Bayes’ rule, which states that the prior odds times the likelihood ratio equals the posterior odds.