dmorga

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Reddit commenter on Bayesian odds and the Rootclaim COVID origins debate

Speaks on: Covid 19 Origins Disinformation Health Public Health Research Policy

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covid-19-origins (1) disinformation (1) health (1) public-health (1) research-policy (1) × world (1)

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Bayesian analysis is the right framework for settling the COVID-19 origins question
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dmorga votes Against and says:

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Looking at the probability table blackpills me on trying to use bayesian odds when forecasting or giving probabilities to any non-trivial claims. It just seems like a fractal mess, where the further into the details of any part of the evidence you ca...
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