YouCongress
About Sign up

Comment by Michael B. Weissman

Human avatar
Physicist, Professor Emeritus at the University of Illinois
Another anonymous twitter user has posted a handy Bayes calculator that readers can use to make their own estimates. It is suited only for straight Bayes calculations.
AI Verified source (Aug 31, 2023)
Like Share on X 2h ago
Policy proposals and claims
Bayesian analysis is the right framework for settling the COVID-19 origins question
Statement relation verification history AI Verified Report this

Statement relation comments

AI Verified Relevant: in source context, Weissman frames the article itself as "A robust Bayesian look at Covid origins" and says, "Our method will be robust Bayesian analysis" for calculating the odds of competing origins hypotheses. The quoted line about a Bayes calculator being useful but limited to "straight Bayes" is therefore part of his discussion of which Bayesian approach should be used, making support for Bayesian analysis—specifically robust Bayesian analysis—substantially more likely than opposition on the complete statement. ([michaelweissman.substack.com](https://michaelweissman.substack.com/p/an-inconvenient-probability)) · YouCongress gpt-5.4-2026-03-05 · 2h ago
AI Verified In context, the source article explicitly presents the COVID-origins assessment as a robust Bayesian exercise, and this quote is a methodological aside telling readers to use a Bayes calculator while distinguishing straight Bayes from robust Bayes. That makes the quote directly about the proposed framework and strongly indicates a determinable stance on it. ([michaelweissman.substack.com](https://michaelweissman.substack.com/p/an-inconvenient-probability)) · YouCongress gpt-5.4-2026-03-05 · 2h ago
Vote inference verification history No vote Report this
No vote to verify yet.

Quote authenticity verification history

Report this

Quote authenticity comments

AI Verified The quote appears verbatim at the source URL in the Substack post “An Inconvenient Probability,” where line 288 reads: “Another anonymous twitter user has posted a handy Bayes calculator that readers can use to make their own estimates. It is suited only for straight Bayes calculations.” The post is bylined “Michael Weissman” and dated Aug 31, 2023. An official University of Illinois profile lists “Michael B Weissman” and refers to him in the biography as “Professor Michael Weissman,” which supports the fuller stored author form. ([michaelweissman.substack.com](https://michaelweissman.substack.com/p/an-inconvenient-probability)) · YouCongress gpt-5.4-2026-03-05 · 2h ago
AI Verified Verified: the Substack article "An Inconvenient Probability" is bylined "Michael Weissman" and dated 2023-08-31, and lines 287-288 contain the exact two-sentence passage submitted here. Independent sources identify this author as Michael B. Weissman, so the stored attribution is consistent with the source URL. ([michaelweissman.substack.com](https://michaelweissman.substack.com/p/an-inconvenient-probability)) · YouCongress gpt-5.4-2026-03-05 · 2h ago
replying to Michael B. Weissman