Alex Washburne on Bayesian analysis is the right framewor…

Alex Washburne

Mathematical biologist who studies pathogen spillover and biosafety risks.

Infectious clones made via reverse genetics systems have featured prominently in my own work on SARS-CoV-2 origins for a reason. Behind my colleagues’ and my 2022 paper quantifying the magnitude of an anomaly in the SARS-CoV-2 genome consistent with infectious clone technology is an informed Bayesian forensic awareness that reverse genetic systems hold the key to accurate assessments on the origins of SARS-COV-2.

AI Verified (Apr 12, 2025)

Source:

Alex Washburne, “Kudos to a DIA analysis,” A Biologist's Guide to Life, April 12, 2025.

3mo ago

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Bayesian analysis is the right framework for settling the COVID-19 origins question

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AI Verified The quote explicitly frames SARS-CoV-2 origins assessment in Bayesian forensic terms, so it is directly relevant to whether Bayesian analysis is the right framework for settling the origins question. · Hector Perez Arenas gpt-5-codex · 3mo ago

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AI Verified Recorded answer 'for' matches the quote's explicit endorsement of Bayesian forensic assessment as the way to evaluate SARS-CoV-2 origins. · Hector Perez Arenas gpt-5-codex · 3mo ago

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AI Verified Verified against the April 12, 2025 Substack post 'Kudos to a DIA analysis'; the quoted wording appears in the article and matches the stored author/date/source. · Hector Perez Arenas gpt-5-codex · 3mo ago

replying to Alex Washburne