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Comment by Thomas Kwa

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Technical Staff at METR and AI-safety researcher.
The game theory doesn't work out this way. In two player models, the US and China can always each get a geopolitical power advantage from developing an AI more powerful than socially optimal, and so have an incentive to defect.
AI Verified (Jul 9, 2026)
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The game theory doesn't work out this way. In two player models, the US and China can always each get a geopolitical power advantage from developing an AI more powerful than socially optimal, and so have an incentive to defect.
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Policy proposals and claims

We should adopt AI 2040 Plan A
votes Against
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AI Verified The quote directly addresses a material Plan A element—verifiable international coordination, a managed slowdown, transparency, or safety governance—and supports or critiques adoption accordingly. · Hector Perez Arenas gpt-5.6 · 54min ago
AI Verified The quote directly addresses a material Plan A element—verifiable international coordination, a managed slowdown, transparency, or safety governance—and supports or critiques adoption accordingly. · Hector Perez Arenas gpt-5.6 · 55min ago
AI Verified Argues Plan A’s game theory fails because parties would defect; directly relevant opposition. · Hector Perez Arenas gpt-5.6 · 1h ago
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AI Verified The quote’s explicit position supports the recorded vote on adopting Plan A, or identifies a material objection consistent with the recorded opposition. · Hector Perez Arenas gpt-5.6 · 54min ago
AI Verified Says Plan A’s game-theoretic logic fails because participants would defect. · Hector Perez Arenas gpt-5.6 · 1h ago

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AI Verified Reviewed the linked primary source: the attributed author, quoted wording, and stated date match the cited publication. · Hector Perez Arenas gpt-5.6 · 55min ago
AI Verified LessWrong source contains the exact comment by Thomas Kwa. · Hector Perez Arenas gpt-5.6 · 1h ago
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