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Comment by Scott Alexander

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Author and psychiatrist
I think there's only a 20% chance of an AI-related underclass that lasts more than a generation, let alone a permanent underclass.
AI Verified source (2026)
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Policy proposals and claims
AI will create a permanent underclass
votes Against
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AI Verified The quote directly addresses the full claim and indicates opposition: the author says there is only a 20% chance of an AI-related underclass lasting more than a generation, and even less chance of a permanent underclass. · YouCongress gpt-5.4-2026-03-05 · 18d ago
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AI Verified The quote says there is "only a 20% chance" of an AI-related underclass lasting beyond a generation, "let alone a permanent underclass," which clearly pushes against the claim that AI will create one. · YouCongress gpt-5.4-2026-03-05 · 18d ago

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AI Verified Verified: on Astral Codex Ten, the post “My AI Opinions” is by Scott Alexander and dated June 11, 2026; it contains the exact sentence under “Other Outcomes”: “I think there’s only a 20% chance of an AI-related underclass that lasts more than a generation, let alone a permanent underclass.” This matches the wording, attribution, source, and year. ([astralcodexten.com](https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/my-ai-opinions)) · YouCongress gpt-5.4-2026-03-05 · 19d ago
replying to Scott Alexander