Andrew Gelman on Bayesian analysis is the right framewor…

Andrew Gelman

Statistician and political scientist, Professor at Columbia University

It's not clear to me that Bayesian inference is the right way to attack this sort of problem. But I’ve been intimidated by the technical biological details in all these analyses so I haven’t looked at them personally.

AI Verified (Feb 3, 2025)

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Andrew Gelman, “What do I think of this Bayesian analysis of the origins of covid?,” Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science, February 3, 2025.

2mo ago

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Bayesian analysis is the right framework for settling the COVID-19 origins question

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AI Verified Quote directly addresses whether Bayesian inference is the right way to assess COVID origins. · Hector Perez Arenas gpt-5-codex · 2mo ago

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AI Verified Quote says it is not clear Bayesian inference is the right way, matching an against answer. · Hector Perez Arenas gpt-5-codex · 2mo ago

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AI Verified Source page by Andrew Gelman on Feb. 3, 2025 contains the stored wording verbatim. · Hector Perez Arenas gpt-5-codex · 2mo ago

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Bayesian analysis is the right framework for settling the COVID-19 origins question

It's hard to compute Bayesian probabilities for this problem, not so much because of the priors but because of the likelihood, which is the probability of the data given the model. One problem is the selection of what is considered to be data, the ot...

more AI Verified source (Aug 1, 2025)