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Comment by Sjlver

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LessWrong writer on Bayesian reasoning and COVID-19 origins
Bayesian Reasoning is a way to believe true things. It is a method to update one’s beliefs given some evidence, so that one ends up with more credence on beliefs that match the evidence. While Bayesian Reasoning is not the only method to find true conclusions, it’s the method with the best mathematical explanation of why it works.
AI Verified (Jan 22, 2025)
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Sjlver, "Bayesian Reasoning on Maps," LessWrong, January 22, 2025.
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Bayesian analysis is the right framework for settling the COVID-19 origins question
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AI Verified The LessWrong post explicitly presents Bayesian reasoning as evidence-updating and discusses the COVID origins case as an example, so the quote is directly relevant. · Hector Perez Arenas gpt-5-codex · 1h ago
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AI Verified Sjlver calls Bayesian reasoning a way to update beliefs from evidence and uses the COVID origins case as an example, supporting the statement. · Hector Perez Arenas gpt-5-codex · 1h ago

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AI Verified Exact wording appears in Sjlver's January 22, 2025 LessWrong post 'Bayesian Reasoning on Maps'. · Hector Perez Arenas gpt-5-codex · 1h ago
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