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Comment by Sam

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StatModeling commenter on COVID-19 origins probabilities
The conclusion that one should reach is to assign equal probabilities to all hypothesis and allow the evidence to decide which is more likely.
AI Verified (Aug 1, 2025)
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Sam, comment on Andrew Gelman, "Controversy over different estimates of covid origins probabilities," Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science, August 1, 2025.
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Bayesian analysis is the right framework for settling the COVID-19 origins question
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AI Verified The quote explicitly says to assign probabilities and let evidence decide, making it directly relevant to the statement. · Hector Perez Arenas gpt-5-codex · 1h ago
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AI Verified Sam says to assign probabilities and let evidence decide, supporting Bayesian analysis for this question. · Hector Perez Arenas gpt-5-codex · 1h ago

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AI Verified The cited StatModeling page contains Sam's August 1, 2025 comment saying to assign equal probabilities and let evidence decide. · Hector Perez Arenas gpt-5-codex · 1h ago
replying to Sam