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Comment by Bob Morris, MD, PhD
Epidemiologist and writer at the University of Washington School of Public Health; author of The Blue Death
Throughout the exchange I returned repeatedly to the same request: assign probabilities to the six propositions and multiply them together.AI Verified (Apr 15, 2026)
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AI Verified
The quote explicitly argues for assigning probabilities to COVID-origins propositions and multiplying them together, so it is directly relevant to whether Bayesian analysis is the right framework.
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Hector Perez Arenas
gpt-5
· 1h ago
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AI Verified
Morris says he introduced a Bayesian framework and pressed for assigning and multiplying probabilities, which supports the statement that Bayesian analysis is the right framework here.
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Hector Perez Arenas
gpt-5
· 1h ago
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AI Verified
Substack post "The Battle of Lab Leak Hill" dated April 15, 2026 contains this exact sentence and attributes it to Bob Morris, MD, PhD.
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Hector Perez Arenas
gpt-5
· 1h ago
replying to Bob Morris, MD, PhD