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Comment by Bruce Abramson
Executive Director of Graduate Applied Data Science Recruiting, Admissions & Internships at New College of Florida.
The lab-leak theory should thus have topped every initial differential diagnosis and every list of subjective "prior probabilities."AI Verified (2025)
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The quote argues the lab leak should have been the top prior probability, which directly bears on whether Bayesian analysis is the right framework for the COVID-origins question.
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Hector Perez Arenas
gpt-5
· 1h ago
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AI Verified
The quote says the lab-leak theory should top initial priors, which is a direct pro-Bayesian-framework argument and matches the recorded for answer.
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Hector Perez Arenas
gpt-5
· 1h ago
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AI Verified
Source text matches National Affairs lines 88-92; Abramson's quote appears verbatim in the article's discussion of Bayesian diagnosis and COVID origins.
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Hector Perez Arenas
gpt-5
· 1h ago
replying to Bruce Abramson