Comment by Yoshimichi Kumon

Visiting researcher at Waseda University BFC and organizer of Logos Sovereign Intelligence.
A doctrine whose trigger mechanism can be this thoroughly disputed cannot function as a deterrent. Deterrence requires certainty. MAD worked because both sides knew, with something close to certainty, what a launch would produce. MACD, as currently specified, offers no equivalent certainty about what a violation would even look like.
AI Verified (Jul 19, 2026)
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AI Verified Quote critiques MACD’s uncertain trigger and says it cannot deter; directly bears on establishing MACD. · Hector Perez Arenas gpt-5.6 · 34min ago
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AI Verified Quote says MACD cannot function as a deterrent as specified; this supports opposition to establishing it. · Hector Perez Arenas gpt-5.6 · 34min ago

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AI Verified Source page (July 19, 2026) attributes this exact paragraph to Yoshimichi Kumon; wording and date match. · Hector Perez Arenas gpt-5.6 · 35min ago
replying to Yoshimichi Kumon