Comment by Felix Choussat

Destroying compute alone is not enough to force a stalemate. Minimal strikes buy one to two years; medium strikes combining datacenter and supply-chain attacks buy around three; maximal persistent strikes reach roughly four to five years at most, and require hitting several dozen targets across datacenters and fabs. The defender's response matters more than the strike: centralizing 90% of surviving compute offsets 80% to 90% of the delay, which can make a minimal strike counterproductive. The paper argues against relying on kinetic sabotage for indefinite deterrence and for lower-escalation mechanisms that leave room to negotiate.