yrimon

I am this person!

Choose a list of delegates

to vote as the majority of them.

Unless you vote directly.

LessWrong commenter on Bayesian reasoning and information quality

Speaks on: Covid 19 Origins Disinformation Health Public Health Research Policy

I am this person!

covid-19-origins (1) × disinformation (1) health (1) public-health (1) research-policy (1) world (1)

Top New

Bayesian analysis is the right framework for settling the COVID-19 origins question
73 opinions

yrimon votes Against and says:

I am this person! Add a sourced quote Report comment

To summarize, the information as to whether you are confident or unsure of your belief is in the shape of your probability distribution (but not in the number 80%) and if you are unsure you often have a cheap and valuable option to learn more.
Unverified source (Jan 2026)

added 3h ago