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Comment by Jonathan

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Rootclaim blog author
While we agree it’s hard, our experience taught us that it is far from impossible.
AI Verified (Apr 1, 2024)
Source:
Rootclaim Blog — on getting probabilistic inference right
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Policy proposals and claims
Bayesian analysis is the right framework for settling the COVID-19 origins question
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AI Verified In context, this sentence is a direct reply to the objection that probabilistic inference about COVID origins is too hard to do well; the article presents that objection as part of the debate over using Bayes factors / probabilistic analysis on the COVID-origins question, and this line says such analysis is difficult but still feasible. That makes the quote on-topic and gives a clear stance signal about the statement. ([blog.rootclaim.com](https://blog.rootclaim.com/covid-origins-debate-response-to-scott-alexander/)) · YouCongress gpt-5.4-2026-03-05 · 1h ago
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AI Verified The quote is replying to the claim that 'it’s hard to get probabilistic inference right' and says it is 'far from impossible.' In context, the article defends Rootclaim’s COVID-origins method as probabilistic inference using Bayes factors/likelihood ratios and says one must learn 'how to do probabilistic inference correctly.' So, though the quote itself does not say 'Bayesian,' it strongly implies support for Bayesian/probabilistic analysis as the right framework for resolving the question. · YouCongress gpt-5.4-2026-03-05 · 59min ago

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AI Verified The provided URL is fetchable, and the exact sentence appears verbatim in the article’s numbered list: “While we agree it’s hard, our experience taught us that it is far from impossible.” The same page is dated April 1, 2024 and credits the post to Jonathan, so the stored quote, author, date, and source URL all match. ([blog.rootclaim.com](https://blog.rootclaim.com/covid-origins-debate-response-to-scott-alexander/)) · YouCongress gpt-5.4-2026-03-05 · 1h ago
replying to Jonathan