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Comment by Oliver Sourbut

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AI for epistemics researcher and coauthor of a 2026 FLF/LessWrong case-study competition post
Over 15 hours of structured argument, two smart people marshalled epidemiological data, viral genetics, Bayesian inference, and institutional analysis to reach opposite conclusions. Two expert judges ruled decisively for zoonosis. Six independent Bayesian analyses of the same evidence spanned 23 orders of magnitude.
Disputed (Jun 4, 2026)
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Oliver Sourbut, coauthor of "Lab Leaks, Black Holes, and Eggs: Epistemic Case Study Competition," LessWrong/FLF, June 4, 2026.
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Bayesian analysis is the right framework for settling the COVID-19 origins question
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Disputed The quoted passage appears verbatim on the cited LessWrong page, in the COVID case-study section, and the page is dated 2026-06-04. However, the page credits multiple authors — “Oliver Sourbut, Josh Jacobson, Future of Life Foundation (FLF)” — so this platform cannot verify it as a single-author quote by Oliver Sourbut alone. · YouCongress gpt-5.4-2026-03-05 · 1h ago
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