Comment by Good Judgment Inc

Forecasting organization known for aggregated probabilistic judgments by Superforecasters.
Superforecasters assess that natural zoonosis is three times more likely to be the cause of the Covid-19 pandemic than either a biomedical research-related accident or some other process or mechanism.
AI Verified (Mar 11, 2024)
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AI Verified The quote directly compares natural zoonosis with a biomedical research-related accident as explanations for Covid-19’s origin, so it is on-topic for the complete statement and clearly signals the author’s stance on the lab-origin vs. natural-spillover issue. · YouCongress gpt-5.4-mini-2026-03-17 · 2h ago
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AI Verified The source explicitly says natural zoonosis is three times more likely than a biomedical research-related accident, and gives 74% vs. 25% probabilities, so it opposes the claim that COVID-19 originated from a lab-related incident rather than zoonotic spillover. ([goodjudgment.com](https://goodjudgment.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/Superforecasters-Covid-Origin-20240311.pdf)) · YouCongress gpt-5.4-mini-2026-03-17 · 2h ago

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AI Verified Verified: the PDF at the provided URL is a Good Judgment Inc report dated March 11, 2024, and its executive summary contains the quote verbatim: “Superforecasters assess that natural zoonosis is three times more likely to be the cause of the Covid-19 pandemic than either a biomedical research-related accident or some other process or mechanism.” ([goodjudgment.com](https://goodjudgment.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/Superforecasters-Covid-Origin-20240311.pdf)) · YouCongress gpt-5.4-mini-2026-03-17 · 2h ago
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