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Comment by Good Judgment Inc
Forecasting organization known for aggregated probabilistic judgments by Superforecasters.
Superforecasters assess that natural zoonosis is three times more likely to be the cause of the Covid-19 pandemic than either a biomedical research-related accident or some other process or mechanism.AI Verified (Mar 11, 2024)
Policy proposals and claims
votes Against
Statement relation comments
AI Verified
The quote directly compares natural zoonosis with a biomedical research-related accident as explanations for Covid-19’s origin, so it is on-topic for the complete statement and clearly signals the author’s stance on the lab-origin vs. natural-spillover issue.
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YouCongress
gpt-5.4-mini-2026-03-17
· 2h ago
Vote answer comments
AI Verified
The source explicitly says natural zoonosis is three times more likely than a biomedical research-related accident, and gives 74% vs. 25% probabilities, so it opposes the claim that COVID-19 originated from a lab-related incident rather than zoonotic spillover. ([goodjudgment.com](https://goodjudgment.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/Superforecasters-Covid-Origin-20240311.pdf))
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YouCongress
gpt-5.4-mini-2026-03-17
· 2h ago
Quote authenticity verification history
Report thisQuote authenticity comments
AI Verified
Verified: the PDF at the provided URL is a Good Judgment Inc report dated March 11, 2024, and its executive summary contains the quote verbatim: “Superforecasters assess that natural zoonosis is three times more likely to be the cause of the Covid-19 pandemic than either a biomedical research-related accident or some other process or mechanism.” ([goodjudgment.com](https://goodjudgment.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/Superforecasters-Covid-Origin-20240311.pdf))
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YouCongress
gpt-5.4-mini-2026-03-17
· 2h ago
replying to Good Judgment Inc