David Manheim

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Researcher and LessWrong commenter on probabilistic reasoning and risk

Speaks on: Covid 19 Origins Disinformation Health Public Health Research Policy

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Location: United States

covid-19-origins (1) disinformation (1) health (1) public-health (1) × research-policy (1) world (1)

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Bayesian analysis is the right framework for settling the COVID-19 origins question
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David Manheim votes Against and says:

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That is, this type of informal Bayesian estimate is useful as part of a ritual for changing your own mind, when done carefully. That requires a significant degree of self-composure, a willingness to change one's mind, and a high degree of justified c...
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