Roko

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LessWrong author and commenter on probabilistic reasoning and COVID-19 origins

Speaks on: Covid 19 Origins Disinformation Health Public Health Research Policy

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covid-19-origins (1) disinformation (1) × health (1) public-health (1) research-policy (1) world (1)

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Bayesian analysis is the right framework for settling the COVID-19 origins question
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It's hard for me to objectively ballpark (4) without help from a few experts. But (1), (2), and (3) are fairly easy to get a ballpark figure for. I think these three are all pretty much independent, so the overall probability of these three things ha...
more AI Verified source (Feb 7, 2024)

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