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Comment by AI Futures Project

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Nonprofit AI forecasting research group behind AI 2027 and Plan A; led by Daniel Kokotajlo.
Smuggled chips make future agreements based on compute governance more difficult to enforce because it is hard for either the US or the Chinese government to trace smuggled chips.
AI Verified (Jul 9, 2026)
Source:
AI 2040: Plan A
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Require all advanced AI chips to be registered and traceable to their physical location
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AI Verified The quote says smuggled chips make compute-governance agreements harder to enforce, which directly supports chip registration and traceability. · Hector Perez Arenas gpt-5 · 1h ago
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AI Verified The quote says smuggled chips make compute-governance agreements harder to enforce, so the recorded 'for' answer matches. · Hector Perez Arenas gpt-5 · 1h ago

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AI Verified AI 2040 Plan A page contains the quoted smuggled-chips compute-governance passage; the quote matches the source text. · Hector Perez Arenas gpt-5 · 1h ago
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