AI Futures Project on AGI could quickly lead to superintellig…

AI Futures Project

Nonprofit AI forecasting research group behind AI 2027 and Plan A; led by Daniel Kokotajlo.

Artificial General Intelligence (AGI)—defined as AI systems surpassing human performance across all cognitive tasks—will likely be developed within the next decade. While talk of AGI has become mainstream, very few people are acknowledging that soon after the development of AGI, the automation of AI research will likely precipitate a rapid transition to superintelligence: systems outperforming humans in every domain.

AI Verified (Feb 2026)

Source:

AI Futures Project, “AI Futures Project Submission to Senate Committee,” February 2026.

2mo ago

Policy proposals and claims

AGI could quickly lead to superintelligence

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AI Verified The submission explicitly says automated AI research after AGI will likely precipitate rapid superintelligence. · Hector Perez Arenas gpt-5.6 · 2mo ago

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AI Verified Recorded answer for matches: the submission says AGI will likely lead rapidly to superintelligence. · Hector Perez Arenas gpt-5.6 · 2mo ago

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AI Verified Official AI Futures Project submission contains the stored AGI and rapid-superintelligence wording as its collective position. · Hector Perez Arenas gpt-5.6 · 2mo ago

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Other opinions from AI Futures Project

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AI Futures Project votes For

We should adopt AI 2040 Plan A

We recommend an international deal to avoid a dangerous race to superintelligence.

AI Verified source (Jul 9, 2026)

added 1mo ago

AI Futures Project votes For

Ban open source AI models capable of creating WMDs

However, we recommend against publicly releasing frontier model weights.

AI Verified source (Jul 9, 2026)

added 2mo ago

AI Futures Project votes For

Require frontier AI labs to conduct nearly all R&D publicly but keep the weights closed

Plan A is not that crazy, but it’s close: the algorithms are mandated to be open source, and while the weights aren’t (in fact the weights are banned from being OS), access to the weights is mandated to be open; members of the public can do evaluatio...

more AI Verified source (Jul 9, 2026)

added 2mo ago