RussellThor

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LessWrong commenter on Bayesian reasoning and the Rootclaim COVID origins debate

Speaks on: Covid 19 Origins Disinformation Health Public Health Research Policy

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covid-19-origins (1) disinformation (1) health (1) public-health (1) × research-policy (1) world (1)

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Bayesian analysis is the right framework for settling the COVID-19 origins question
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RussellThor votes Against and says:

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Both sides attempted Bayesian estimates and probabilities and got absolutely absurd differences in estimates. Rootclaim failed to impress me - the takeaway I got is that they are well suited to say murder cases where there is history to go off, but w...
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